Bishop Hill
"The landfall of supertyphoon Haiyan has led to a predictable upsurge in attempts by unscrupulous environmentalists to turn the drama into a political opportunity. ........Meanwhile, we learn of this 2004 paleoclimate reconstruction of hurricane landfalls in South-eastern China. The conclusions seem to contradict the wild claims of the drama greens more than somewhat: 'Remarkably, the two periods of most frequent typhoon strikes in Guangdong (AD 1660–1680, 1850–1880) coincide with two of the coldest and driest periods in northern and central China during the Little Ice Age.'
If the science is done correctly it appears that it is the sun, or more specifically, the magnetic field from sunspots. The time-integral of sunspot numbers as a proxy (appropriately reduced by thermal radiation from the planet) plus net ocean oscillations calculates average global temperatures since 1895 with 90% accuracy (correlation coefficient = 0.95). Demonstrated at http://danpangburn.blogspot.com/
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