Now to the global warming conference. The reader should understand Yours Truly is a certified expert in these areas, a genuine climate scientist, with a specialty in the goodness and usefulness of models, the very kinds of models which predict our doom.
The models are wrong. And have been for decades.
How do I know this? Here’s a sentence from an open letter skeptics presented to the PAS (to hand to Pope Francis) at its conference (I am a signer of this letter):
[T]here has been a growing divergence
between real-world temperature observations and model simulations. On
average, models simulate more than twice the observed warming over the
relevant period. Over 95% of the models simulate greater warming than
has been observed, and only a tiny percentage come tolerably close.
It is a logical truth, and a fact once known to all scientists, that
models which make consistently lousy predictions imply the theories
underlying them are false. Since the models make lousy forecasts, we
know the theories upon which the models are based are wrong. And since
these theories are wrong, they should not be believed. And since they
should not be believed, we should not base decisions on them.Now you’d think these happy deductions would be welcome news to our political and spiritual betters. But they aren’t, because why? Because if there is no problem, there is no problem to solve. And if there is no problem to solve, there is no need to seek political power to solve the nonexistent problem."