Tuesday, 26 January 2010

Lord Stern's dodgy dossier exposed

Telegraph
".....But as Roger Pielke Jr – environmental sciences professor at the University of Colorado at Boulder – first noticed in a 2007 peer reviewed paper, the numbers in the Stern Review just don’t add up. He estimated that as much as 40 per cent of Stern’s projections for the costs of unmitigated climate change are a crock, based on misuse of a single study (Muir-Wood et al. 2006) about the effects of hurricanes.Now, Pielke has noticed, some discreet, face-saving tinkering has been going on. In the original version of the Stern Review the estimated damage caused by hurricanes in “costs as a percentage of GDP” was 1.3 per cent. But in the new version in the British government online archive, this has now been sneakily amended to the rather more modest 0.13 per cent.What Pielke finds slightly worrying is the underhand nature of the correction:...."

(A follow-up to our Sunday posting..)

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