Wednesday, 13 April 2011

If the CSIRO’s warming predictions are right, why does it keep snowing?

Andrew Bolt,Herald Sun (Australia)
"The snow keeeps refusing to vanish as the CSIRO predicted in 2008:

Scientists say Australian skiers should prepare for shorter ski seasons because of global warming… CSIRO climate change expert Dr Penny Whetton says Australia’s mountain snow cover could be reduced by up to 54 per cent by 2020.

Or how the CSIRO predicted in 2003:

A 2003 CSIRO report, part-funded by the ski industry, found that the resorts could lose a quarter of their snow in 15 years, and half by 2050. The worst case was a 96 per cent loss of snow by mid-century.

Instead, just nine years from that skiers’ nightmare Whetton predicted, we again see promise of yet another great snow season:

The wet weather which lashed southern Victoria overnight has also reached the high country, with Mt Buller, Falls Creek and Mt Hotham all reporting good snowfalls since the weekend.

With the official start to the ski season still two months away, the snow continues to fall across Mt Buller today after temperatures fell below zero last night. At 9.30am the temperature had climbed back to minus 0.2 degrees after plunging to minus 1.6 degrees. About 10cm had fallen at Mt Buller by 9am.

At some stage the CSIRO should explain if it still stands by its predictions, and, if not, how it got them wrong and what this means. "

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