Sunday, 20 July 2014

Lewandowsky and Oreskes Are Co-Authors of a Paper about ENSO, Climate Models and Sea Surface Temperature Trends (Go Figure!)

WUWT
OVERVIEW
The Risbey et al. (2014) Well-estimated global surface warming in climate projections selected for ENSO phase is yet another paper trying to blame the recent dominance of La Niña events for the slowdown in global surface temperature warming, the hiatus. This one, however, states that ENSO contributes to the warming when El Niño events dominate. That occurred from the mid-1970s to the late-1990s. Risbey et al. (2014) also has a number of curiosities that make it stand out from the rest. One of those curiosities is that they claim that 4 specially selected climate models (which they failed to identify) can reproduce the spatial patterns of warming and cooling in the Pacific (and the rest of the ocean basins) during the hiatus period, while the maps they presented of observed versus modeled trends contradict the claims.     ..................Simply put, Risbey et al. (2014) has very effectively undermined climate model hindcasts and projections, and the paper has provided lots of fuel for skeptics."

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