WUWT
OVERVIEW
The Risbey et al. (2014) Well-estimated global surface warming in climate projections selected for ENSO phase
is yet another paper trying to blame the recent dominance of La Niña
events for the slowdown in global surface temperature warming, the
hiatus. This one, however, states that ENSO contributes to the warming
when El Niño events dominate. That occurred from the mid-1970s to the
late-1990s. Risbey et al. (2014) also has a number of curiosities that
make it stand out from the rest. One of those curiosities is that they
claim that 4 specially selected climate models (which they failed to
identify) can reproduce the spatial patterns of warming and cooling in
the Pacific (and the rest of the ocean basins) during the hiatus period,
while the maps they presented of observed versus modeled trends
contradict the claims. ..................Simply put, Risbey et al. (2014) has very effectively undermined climate
model hindcasts and projections, and the paper has provided lots of
fuel for skeptics."
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