But equally inevitable was that the BBC would
get in on the act. Thus Monday’s Today programme wheeled on Professor
Tim Palmer, in charge of climate modelling at Oxford University, to
confirm President Lonsdale’s worst fears. Such “incredibly intense”
category five cyclones, he told John Humphrys, are “exactly the type of
cyclone that is predicted by the climate models to increase under
climate change, under global warming”.
When Humphrys suggested that we have always had cyclones, Palmer said
that recent examples have seen “wind gusts that have never been measured
before, 200-mile-an-hour winds”. When Humphrys asked him to confirm
that they were indeed unprecedented, Palmer repeated that “these things
have never been seen”.
Had Humphrys
or the programme’s researchers spent a couple of minutes on Google, they
might have seen from Wikipedia that the South Pacific has seen no fewer
than 10 Category Five cyclones in the past twenty years alone. Paul
Homewood was soon able to report on his Notalotofpeopleknowthat
blog that, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, Pam’s measured wind speed was only 165mph. Of the five
top South Pacific cyclones since 1989, this ranked it as only the equal
fourth strongest: behind Orson and Monica, which hit the Australian
coast in 1989 and 2006 with wind speeds of 180mph. This was also
equalled by Zoe, which hit Vanuatu in 2002.
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