WUWT
Why do ice ages occur? Surprisingly, even after many decades of
paleoclimatic research we simply do not know for sure. Most scientists
will agree that ice age cycles have something to do with precession: the
slow wobble of the axis of the Earth. The ancient Egyptians and Greeks
knew of precession and called it the Great Year, because it gives warm
and cool seasons over its approximate 23,000-year cycle. But there is a
problem with invoking the Great Year as the regulator of ice ages,
because we should really get an interglacial warming every 23,000 years
or so. And we don’t – they only happen every fourth or fifth Great Year. ........And so now we have the entire ice age forcing and feedback mechanism,
laid out and plain for all to see. It begins when a Great Summer turns
into a Great Winter, which reduces the sun-strength in the northern
hemisphere and allows ice sheets to grow. This is a slow process that
takes tens of thousands of years, and appears destined to turn the world
into a complete snowball. However, the high albedo polar ice sheets
have an Achilles heel – dust. As the ice sheets grow and the seas cool,
CO2 also reduces. The concentration finally reaches the critical 190 ppm
level where world flora begins to die, especially at higher altitude,
and the Gobi steppe-lands turn into a true sand desert. This turns
northern China into the equivalent of 1930s Dust Bowl America, and the
ensuing dust storms dump thousands of tonnes of dust onto the northern
ice sheets each year. And so when the next Great Summer comes along, the
dusty polar ice sheets can warm and melt and the next interglacial is
born. So CO2 can indeed cause global warming but its effect is much more
pronounced at low concentrations, rather than high concentrations."
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