Roger Pielke Jr.'s Blog
"E. Neumayer and F. Barthel. 2011. Normalizing Economic Loss from Natural Disasters: A Global Analysis, Global Environmental Change, 21:13-24.
They conclude: "there is no evidence so far that climate change has increased the normalized economic loss from natural disasters."
Wednesday, 6 March 2013
IPCC Invites In the Activists
Donna Laframboise
"Here we go again. The World Wildlife Fund is an NGO. Greenpeace is an NGO. The people who work for those organizations are not scientific experts. They are advocates, activists, and partisans. They have an agenda. They are paid a salary to advance that agenda.
The public is repeatedly assured that the IPCC is an objective and rigorous scientific body, composed of the world’s top scientists. The public is told it can trust IPCC reports because thousands of “scientific expert reviewers” participate in the IPCC process. .....But there’s the IPCC’s fiction and then there are the facts. The IPCC has a very long, very sordid history of recruiting personnel linked to activist organizations. ..."
"Here we go again. The World Wildlife Fund is an NGO. Greenpeace is an NGO. The people who work for those organizations are not scientific experts. They are advocates, activists, and partisans. They have an agenda. They are paid a salary to advance that agenda.
The public is repeatedly assured that the IPCC is an objective and rigorous scientific body, composed of the world’s top scientists. The public is told it can trust IPCC reports because thousands of “scientific expert reviewers” participate in the IPCC process. .....But there’s the IPCC’s fiction and then there are the facts. The IPCC has a very long, very sordid history of recruiting personnel linked to activist organizations. ..."
Central Europe, Scandinavia Brace For Worst March Temperature Plummet Since 1987!
NoTricksZone
"Over the last few days, Central Europe has been enjoying springlike sunshine with double-digit Celsius temperatures. Some readings rose to near 15°C (59°F). However, this will end brutally by the end of the week. At Twitter, meteorologist Dominik Jung of wetter.net posted the chart of what’s ahead, for example, for the central German city of Hannover: ..."
"Over the last few days, Central Europe has been enjoying springlike sunshine with double-digit Celsius temperatures. Some readings rose to near 15°C (59°F). However, this will end brutally by the end of the week. At Twitter, meteorologist Dominik Jung of wetter.net posted the chart of what’s ahead, for example, for the central German city of Hannover: ..."
‘Ground Zero for Global Warming’? State of Alaska temperatures in 2012 refused to cooperate
WUWT
"While some claims have been made that “Alaska is Ground Zero for Global Warming” it turns out that the state of Alaska was significantly below normal in 2012. For example, Fairbanks had the coldest year in the 21st century so far, and it was also the second coldest year in more than 40 years according to the data presented in this report below."
"While some claims have been made that “Alaska is Ground Zero for Global Warming” it turns out that the state of Alaska was significantly below normal in 2012. For example, Fairbanks had the coldest year in the 21st century so far, and it was also the second coldest year in more than 40 years according to the data presented in this report below."
Tuesday, 5 March 2013
The models are broken, by the standards warmists set
Andrew Bolt,Herald Sun (Australia)
"In 2008, Britian’s Met Office noted a 10-year pause, or sharp slowing, in the warming trend and asked this question in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’ annual State of the Climate: Do global temperature trends over the last decade falsify climate predictions? No, it decided. Global warming models wouldn’t be clearly wrong until the pause lasted 15 years: ..... But when Brozek checks for statistically significant warming, the warming pause extends by every measure to more than 15 years:
For RSS the warming is not significant for over 23 years…
For UAH the warming is not significant for over 19 years…
For Hadcrut3 the warming is not significant for over 19 years…
For Hadcrut4 the warming is not significant for over 18 years…
For GISS the warming is not significant for over 17 years...
Once warmists said 15 years of no statistically significant warming invalidated their models. Draw your own conclusions.
"In 2008, Britian’s Met Office noted a 10-year pause, or sharp slowing, in the warming trend and asked this question in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’ annual State of the Climate: Do global temperature trends over the last decade falsify climate predictions? No, it decided. Global warming models wouldn’t be clearly wrong until the pause lasted 15 years: ..... But when Brozek checks for statistically significant warming, the warming pause extends by every measure to more than 15 years:
For RSS the warming is not significant for over 23 years…
For UAH the warming is not significant for over 19 years…
For Hadcrut3 the warming is not significant for over 19 years…
For Hadcrut4 the warming is not significant for over 18 years…
For GISS the warming is not significant for over 17 years...
Once warmists said 15 years of no statistically significant warming invalidated their models. Draw your own conclusions.
Man-made global warming theory is falsified by satellite observations
The Hockey Schtick
"Global warming theory proposes that CO2 traps longwave (infrared) radiation in the troposphere to reduce outgoing longwave radiation [OLR] to space. However, satellite measurements since 1975 indicate that global OLR has instead increased by about 1.3 Wm-2. This is in direct contradiction to global warming theory that "trapping" of radiation by CO2 should have instead reduced* OLR by .93 Wm-2 since 1975."
"Global warming theory proposes that CO2 traps longwave (infrared) radiation in the troposphere to reduce outgoing longwave radiation [OLR] to space. However, satellite measurements since 1975 indicate that global OLR has instead increased by about 1.3 Wm-2. This is in direct contradiction to global warming theory that "trapping" of radiation by CO2 should have instead reduced* OLR by .93 Wm-2 since 1975."
Wrong Prediction, Wrong Science; Unless It’s Government Climate Science.
Dr Tim Ball
"The IPCC have deliberately misled the world about the nature, cause and threat of climate change and deceived about the accuracy of their predictions (projections), for a political agenda."
"The IPCC have deliberately misled the world about the nature, cause and threat of climate change and deceived about the accuracy of their predictions (projections), for a political agenda."
Snow Blankets Northern Countries Contrary to Global Warming Predictions meaning Governments are basing Climate Change Policies on Faulty Science say Friends of Science
PRWeb
"Global warming advocates predicted 13 years ago that soon children would never see snow due to climate change. Surprisingly, the recent heavy snowfalls are instead being touted by advocates as evidence of global warming – yet scientific measurements show temperatures on the decline meaning global government climate change policies are being driven by faulty computer models instead of known solar cycles say Friends of Science."
"Global warming advocates predicted 13 years ago that soon children would never see snow due to climate change. Surprisingly, the recent heavy snowfalls are instead being touted by advocates as evidence of global warming – yet scientific measurements show temperatures on the decline meaning global government climate change policies are being driven by faulty computer models instead of known solar cycles say Friends of Science."
German Doubts Over Renewable Energies Skyrocket…Pollster: “Surprised By The Great Skepticism”
NoTricksZone
"For German standards, the poll produced some shocking results. Heidecke writes: Among the people, skepticism about the transition to renewable energy is growing. According to a poll [...] especially in the Ruhr Region, only a few believe in a rapid transformation of the energy sector. Many are worried about the energy costs.”
"For German standards, the poll produced some shocking results. Heidecke writes: Among the people, skepticism about the transition to renewable energy is growing. According to a poll [...] especially in the Ruhr Region, only a few believe in a rapid transformation of the energy sector. Many are worried about the energy costs.”
Organised astroturfing
Bishop Hill
"Barry Woods alerts us to Al Gore's organised astroturfing organisation, in which people are encouraged to copy text from the Reality Drop website and paste it into climate-related comments threads. George Monbiot has been very vocal against this sort of thing. It will be interesting to see how he responds, particularly since the Guardian's own pages are being targeted. Incidentally, the Met Office are thanked on Reality Drop's "About" page. I wonder what their involvement is?"
"Barry Woods alerts us to Al Gore's organised astroturfing organisation, in which people are encouraged to copy text from the Reality Drop website and paste it into climate-related comments threads. George Monbiot has been very vocal against this sort of thing. It will be interesting to see how he responds, particularly since the Guardian's own pages are being targeted. Incidentally, the Met Office are thanked on Reality Drop's "About" page. I wonder what their involvement is?"
The Climate Commission plumbs new depths
Quadrant Online
"Just one day after the IPCC Chairman claimed that global warming had stopped happening 17 years ago, the Australian Climate Commission rushed out a press statement, “The Earth Continues to Warm.”
"Just one day after the IPCC Chairman claimed that global warming had stopped happening 17 years ago, the Australian Climate Commission rushed out a press statement, “The Earth Continues to Warm.”
Has Global Warming Stalled? (Now Includes January Data)
WUWT
"Above, various facts have been presented along with sources from where all facts were obtained. Keep in mind that no one is entitled to their facts. It is only in the interpretation of the facts for which legitimate discussions can take place. After looking at the above facts, do you feel that we should spend billions to prevent catastrophic warming? Or do you feel we should take a “wait and see” attitude for a few years to be sure that future warming will be as catastrophic as some claim it will be? Keep in mind that even the MET office felt the need to revise its forecasts."
"Above, various facts have been presented along with sources from where all facts were obtained. Keep in mind that no one is entitled to their facts. It is only in the interpretation of the facts for which legitimate discussions can take place. After looking at the above facts, do you feel that we should spend billions to prevent catastrophic warming? Or do you feel we should take a “wait and see” attitude for a few years to be sure that future warming will be as catastrophic as some claim it will be? Keep in mind that even the MET office felt the need to revise its forecasts."
Andrew Montford: A Despotism Over The Mind
GWPF
"I don’t know about you, but I think a balanced view of global warming would involve teaching the evidence against global warming as well as the evidence for it. Human activities are “major factors”? Surely they may be major factors. Surely the failure of temperatures to rise in recent years suggests that they may equally be minor factors. Should the attribution statement not be qualified with the fact that it depends on computer models that may be useful as toys for scientists but, having no proven ability to predict future climate, are far being ready to inform policymakers? Will the children be told this? Or are they just pawns of a left-wing educational establishment who must hear the recitation of the global warming dogma?"
"I don’t know about you, but I think a balanced view of global warming would involve teaching the evidence against global warming as well as the evidence for it. Human activities are “major factors”? Surely they may be major factors. Surely the failure of temperatures to rise in recent years suggests that they may equally be minor factors. Should the attribution statement not be qualified with the fact that it depends on computer models that may be useful as toys for scientists but, having no proven ability to predict future climate, are far being ready to inform policymakers? Will the children be told this? Or are they just pawns of a left-wing educational establishment who must hear the recitation of the global warming dogma?"
Tim Flannery: We predicted everything. There is no “pause in global warming.
JoNova (Australia)
"TIM FLANNERY, CHIEF CLIMATE COMMISSIONER 7-30 Report ABC: “…everything we’re seeing is consistent with what the climate scientists have been telling us now for decades…”
Leigh Sales, ABC PRESENTER : “… … …(no comment)…”
ED:Read the rest......
"TIM FLANNERY, CHIEF CLIMATE COMMISSIONER 7-30 Report ABC: “…everything we’re seeing is consistent with what the climate scientists have been telling us now for decades…”
Leigh Sales, ABC PRESENTER : “… … …(no comment)…”
ED:Read the rest......
Monday, 4 March 2013
New paper shows 99% of IPCC models exaggerate warming in central & southeastern US
The Hockey Schtick
"A paper published today in the Journal of Climate finds that the latest IPCC climate models are unable to reproduce the cooling observed in the southeastern and central portions of the US during the 20th century. According to the authors, "Some parts of the U.S., especially the southeastern and central portion, cooled by up to 2°C during the 20th century, " but that "only 19 out of 100 all-forcing historical [climate models] simulated negative temperature trends (cooling) over the southeast U.S. with 99 members under-predicting the cooling rate in the region." The authors also find, "the simulations with greenhouse gases (GHG) forcing only produced strong warming in the central U.S." in comparison to the observed cooling. The paper adds to many other peer-reviewed papers demonstrating that climate models greatly exaggerate warming, and the alleged effects of increased greenhouse gases. It is also remarkable that the "adjusted" temperature record still shows the central & southeastern US cooled up to 2°C during the 20th century, despite massive data tampering to produce an artificial warming trend in US temperatures of > 1°C."
"A paper published today in the Journal of Climate finds that the latest IPCC climate models are unable to reproduce the cooling observed in the southeastern and central portions of the US during the 20th century. According to the authors, "Some parts of the U.S., especially the southeastern and central portion, cooled by up to 2°C during the 20th century, " but that "only 19 out of 100 all-forcing historical [climate models] simulated negative temperature trends (cooling) over the southeast U.S. with 99 members under-predicting the cooling rate in the region." The authors also find, "the simulations with greenhouse gases (GHG) forcing only produced strong warming in the central U.S." in comparison to the observed cooling. The paper adds to many other peer-reviewed papers demonstrating that climate models greatly exaggerate warming, and the alleged effects of increased greenhouse gases. It is also remarkable that the "adjusted" temperature record still shows the central & southeastern US cooled up to 2°C during the 20th century, despite massive data tampering to produce an artificial warming trend in US temperatures of > 1°C."
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