Climategate

"Carbon (Dioxide) trading is now the fastest growing commodities market on earth.....And here’s the great thing about it. Unlike traditional commodities markets, which will eventually involve delivery to someone in physical form, the carbon (dioxide) market is based on lack of delivery of an invisible substance to no-one. Since the market revolves around creating carbon (dioxide) credits, or finding carbon (dioxide) reduction projects whose benefits can then be sold to those with a surplus of emissions, it is entirely intangible." (Telegraph)

This blog has been tracking the 'Global Warming Scam' for over four years now. There are a very large number of articles being published in blogs and more in the MSM who are waking up to the fact the public refuse to be conned any more and are objecting to the 'green madness' of governments and the artificially high price of energy. This blog will now be concentrating on the major stories as we move to the pragmatic view of 'not if, but when' and how the situation is managed back to reality. To quote Professor Lindzen, "a lot of people are going to look pretty silly"


PS: If you have arrived here on a page link, then click on the HOME link...

Tuesday, 28 October 2014

The Present EU Economic Problem (and the Incipient USA One)

E M Smith
So having electricity ‘skyrocket’ and forcing folks to ‘decarbonize’ by taking more (paid / costly) transit and buying yet more expensive electricity (to replace the wood or coal or gas stove) just means there is that much LESS left over to buy, oh, I don’t know, maybe cars and shoes and bread… that causes demand to drop…  "

Analysis shows the "missing heat" has gone to space & less "heat trapping" from increased greenhouse gases

The Hockey Schtick
A post today from Kiwi Thinker examines recent trends in the greenhouse effect from satellite data since 1979 and shows, opposite of warmist claims, that the greenhouse effect and "heat-trapping" of the atmosphere has steadily decreased along with the increase in greenhouse gas levels. The author concludes from this empirical NOAA data,

1. The "missing heat" has gone back to space as it always has...via outgoing longwave infrared radiation.

2. And more importantly, the greenhouse effect is not increasing as per IPCC dogma.

Thus, Trenberth's "missing heat," which only exists in falsified climate models, is not present in the atmosphere or oceans, and is now past Alpha Centauri located 4.3 light years away, i.e. it's not "in the pipeline" and is never coming back.

The analysis supports that of Dr. Noor van Andel, who unfortunately passed away three years ago, finding that IR radiation to space increased over the past 62 years, the exact opposite of the predictions of CAGW theory and computer models.   "

Cooling the global warming panic

Washington Times
The case against carbon dioxide — the stuff we breathe out and plants breathe in — has never been weaker. The climate doom criers insist that CO2, as a “greenhouse gas,” causes planetary temperatures to rise. According to the measurements of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, global average carbon dioxide levels are currently higher than ever, up 8 percent since 1998. So why have we been in a “pause” in global warming for the past two decades if CO2 and temperatures are directly linked?

Britain Announces Emergency Measures To Prevent Winter Blackouts

WUWT
From the GWPF: Cold Winter Could Cause Britain’s Lights To Go Out
Emergency measures to prevent blackouts this winter have been unveiled by National Grid after Britain’s spare power capacity fell to just 4 per cent.
–Emily Gosden, The Daily Telegraph, 27 October 2014
The capacity crunch has been predicted for about seven years. Everyone seems to have seen this coming – except the people in charge.
–Andrew Orlowski, The Register, 10 June 2014  ........."

Lack of wind or nuclear problems 'could wipe out UK's spare power capacity'

Telegraph
A cold and windless day could result in households’ lights being dimmed this winter, despite new emergency measures to prevent blackouts, experts have warned.
Britain’s spare capacity – the safety buffer between electricity supplies and peak demand – has fallen to just 4 per cent, the lowest level in seven years, following a series of power plant fires and closures, analysis from National Grid revealed.
Ministers on Tuesday insisted there would be no blackouts, thanks to emergency measures to bolster the margin back up to 6 per cent – higher than last year - by paying three power plants millions of pounds to guarantee their availability and paying factories to switch off during times of peak demand.
But experts cast doubt on those assurances."

Sunday, 26 October 2014

Yes Virginia (and everyone else) there is an El Niño coming

WUWT
I am a bit surprised at some of the waffling in the meteorological community on the ENSO event ( then again, maybe it is I who will be surprised).  Its evolving . I stated on our weatherbell.com site at the start of the month to get ready for the drop in the SOI  that would allow the warmer sub surface water to come up and its like clockwork, its coming. Look at the SOI this month, and notice how over the last 15 days, alot of double digit negatives have shown up  after a period that was basically a wash. I don’t know why there is all the hand wringing with this event."

We waste more heat than we pay for to keep homes warm

Christopher Booker, Telegraph
When the BBC website last week reported the EU’s latest wholly unrealisable plan to achieve a 40 per cent cut in our CO₂ emissions within 16 years – Ed Davey, who is interviewed in today’s paper, actually wanted 50 per cent – it was inevitably illustrated with one of those pictures of cooling towers. They were belching what readers might imagine were clouds of smoke and nasty, “polluting” CO₂. But in reality, what emerges from those cooling towers is steam, given off by heat from the gas that drives the turbines – and all that colossal amount of heat literally goes up the chimney.
I heard no more startling fact last week than the finding of a new study, to be published next month, showing that the heat we waste in this way is “very significantly” more than all the heat we get from the gas used to warm Britain’s 25 million homes.
So why don’t we save billions of pounds a year by following the example of the countries that use that heat to warm buildings? In Denmark nearly half of its buildings are kept warm by “combined heat and power”, or CHP, piping heat from power stations to whole districts of towns and cities."

The greenies want it both ways about acidic oceans

Christopher Booker, Telegraph
For every scientific paper that pushes this particular long-familiar scare story, another points out that to talk about the oceans turning to acid when their average pH level is still way above 7.0 is just scientific bunkum. But what the warmists also overlook is the science that tells us that when the oceans grow warmer they give off more CO₂ rather than the other way round. So, if the oceans are warming, as the warmists like to claim, they should contain less CO₂, not more. They cannot have it both ways."

I will keep Britain’s lights on, Ed Davey pledges

Telegraph
Those contingency measures, to be set out in full next week, are on both the supply and demand sides of the electricity system. To boost supply, “mothballed” plants could be brought back into use. Generating companies could also be told to “max-generate”, running at full capacity for a short-term surge. New demand-side contingencies are potentially more disruptive. In the event of a sudden shortage of power, big industrial consumers such as factories would be paid to switch on emergency backup generators and produce their own power."
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Bishop Hill : Lights on factories off

EXPOSED: How a shadowy network funded by foreign millions is making our household energy bills soar - for a low-carbon Britain

Daily Mail
  • Shadowy pro-green lobbyists working at every level of the Establishment
  • Organisations are channelling tens of millions of pounds into green policies
  • Elite lobby group linked to Friends of the Earth, Greenpeace and the WWF
  • Current energy policies shaped by the Green Blob will cost up to £400billion
  • If continued, there will be further eye-watering energy bill rises for Britons

Monday, 20 October 2014

Climate change alarmism. Another obsession of an unaccountable elite


Step forward, for example, Graham Stuart, the MP for Beverley and Holderness.
Who?  For those who don’t know, he was elected to his current seat in 2005. Since then he has been working away on a raft of rather predictable local constituency issues, including most recently a lack of a defibrillator in a local village, and in trying to reduce toll charges on the Humber Bridge.  All very commendable.
But said Mr Stuart has a deeper, darker purpose. He is a climate change alarmist zealot – and in that capacity, he was elected global chairman in 2013 of a body called Global International.
I had not heard of it, either.
Turns out (website here) that it has vast resources, is supported by governments throughout the world (including of course the United Kingdom’s ). Its purpose is to create a mass of international legislation – broadly in line with what the EU also wants - that ensures that all the principles of climate change alarmism are incorporated in domestic national legislation throughout the world. And of course – surprise, surprise – Tony Blair had a major hand in consolidating its power, back in 2005 at the Gleneagles G8 summit.
Reading the website turned my stomach. Here is a body that clearly has vast resources – from precisely where it does not condescend to tell us (these bodies never do) – and in train is a vast, multi-layered agenda with one overarching purpose – to ensure that politicians everywhere adopt measures that ensure that the objectives of ‘sustainability’ are foisted upon, whoops – sorry – adopted,  by the peoples of the world."

Sunday, 19 October 2014

Secret Post Facto Changes in the IPCC AR5 Report

WUWT
Brandon Shollenberger writes: I thought you might be interested to hear the final version of the IPCC AR5 WGII report has been published, and a number of changes were made between it and the Final Draft people have been using for the last seven months or so.  The only way anyone can find them is by comparing the text in the two versions as the IPCC apparently does not disclose these changes."

Ed Miliband and Baroness Worthington, the most expensive man and woman in Britain’s history

Christopher Booker,Telegraph
Who are potentially the most expensive man and woman in Britain, due over the next 36 years to cost this country £1.3 trillion, equivalent to our entire, ever-swelling National Debt?
The man is Ed Miliband, who in 2008 pushed through the final version of the Climate Change Act. It made us the only country in the world legally committed between now and 2050 to cutting our emissions of CO2 by a staggering 80 per cent. Even then, the Government projected that this would cost us up to £734 billion. The latest figures from the EU and the International Energy Agency suggest that, for Britain to reach this target, it would now cost even more: £1,300 billion.
Less well known, however, is the extraordinary story of how this most expensive Act ever put on the statute book originated in the first place. Google “Bryony Worthington YouTube” and you will see the video of a young climate activist, now known as Baroness Worthington, describing how she first conceived the idea of such a policy when she was campaigns director on climate change for Friends of the Earth."

Climate change forecasts 'exaggerated', ex-environment secretary Owen Paterson claims

Telegraph
The effects of climate change have been "consistently and widely exaggerated" in scientific forecasts, Owen Paterson, the sacked environment secretary, has claimed.
In a speech to climate sceptic think tank the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) on Wednesday, Mr Paterson will say that there is "considerable uncertainty" over the extent to which carbon dioxide emissions will cause global warming.
"Over the past 35 years, the earth’s atmosphere has warmed nothing like as fast as forecast and over the last 18 years it has not warmed at all, according to some sources," he will say, claiming "many policymakers have still to catch up with the facts".
Mr Paterson argues that the UK should scrap the Climate Change Act, which binds the UK to cutting its greenhouse gas emissions, and pursue an alternative energy strategy."

Friday, 17 October 2014

New paper debunks "acidification" scare, finds warming increases pH

The Hockey Schtick
A paper published today in Climate of the Past reconstructs water pH and temperature from a lake in central Japan over the past 280,000 years and clearly shows that pH increases [becomes more basic or alkaline] due to warmer temperatures, and vice-versa, becomes more acidic [or "acidified" if you prefer] due to cooling temperatures. This finding is the opposite of the false assumptions behind the "ocean acidification" scare, but is compatible with the basic chemistry of Henry's Law and outgassing of CO2 from the oceans with warming. 

Thus, if global warming resumes after the "pause," ocean temperatures will rise along with CO2 outgassing, which will make the oceans more basic, not acidic. You simply cannot have it both ways:

"Either the oceans are getting warmer and the CO2 concentration in seawater is decreasing, which means that ocean acidification from man-made CO2 from the atmosphere is nonsense. 
Or the oceans are getting cooler and the man-made CO2 from the atmosphere is dissolving in those cooler oceans and causing – insignificant – ocean acidification, which means that warming oceans and the associated sea level rises are nonsense. 
Take your pick – REAL SCIENCE says you can’t have both."
In addition, the paper shows that pH of the lake varied over a wide range from ~7.5 to 8.8 simply depending on the temperature of each month of the year. As the "acidification" alarmists like to say, a variation of 1.3 pH units is equivalent to a 1995% change in hydrogen ions due to the logarithmic pH scale, just over a single year! Summer months are of course associated with warmer temperatures and more alkaline, higher pH and winter months associated with colder temperatures and much more "acidified" lower pH values. Note also how pH varies widely over ~7.5 to 8.8 simply dependent on the depth at a given time, because colder deeper waters can hold higher partial pressures of CO2 than the warmer surface waters:   ..."