Climategate

"Carbon (Dioxide) trading is now the fastest growing commodities market on earth.....And here’s the great thing about it. Unlike traditional commodities markets, which will eventually involve delivery to someone in physical form, the carbon (dioxide) market is based on lack of delivery of an invisible substance to no-one. Since the market revolves around creating carbon (dioxide) credits, or finding carbon (dioxide) reduction projects whose benefits can then be sold to those with a surplus of emissions, it is entirely intangible." (Telegraph)

This blog has been tracking the 'Global Warming Scam' for over five years now. There are a very large number of articles being published in blogs and more in the MSM who are waking up to the fact the public refuse to be conned any more and are objecting to the 'green madness' of governments and the artificially high price of energy. This blog will now be concentrating on the major stories as we move to the pragmatic view of 'not if, but when' and how the situation is managed back to reality. To quote Professor Lindzen, "a lot of people are going to look pretty silly"


PS: If you have arrived here on a page link, then click on the HOME link...

Sunday, 31 August 2014

Climate Science Explained In One Simple Graph

Real Science
You might be tempted to think that the practice of climate science is a complete fraud, and if you did, you would be correct."

Scientists-of-PR jump the shark, assign “climate blame” percentage for each event

JoNova (Australia)
Here’s the new desperate meme about to turn your weather report into an advertisement for carbon trading. The people are not scared enough. Say hello to scientismic marketing.  It sure isn’t science.
The generators of Climate Fear start with broken models that we know don’t predict global temperatures, upper tropospheric humidity, Antarctic sea ice, and ocean heat (or much of anything else). They then use these to model the chances of individual storms, or floods — something they were not designed to do. Then they run these mistakes 5 million times with and without the magic CO2 forcing. They might as well stand back, look solemn, and pick a percentage or throw a dart.  The great thing is, only God knows the right answer. The models can’t “miss”.
Was that flood 35% due to man-made emissions? Was that tornado 50% more deadly? (Did it rain on your wedding day? Sue someone!)
Of course, New Scientist swallows the theme whole, tea-leaves and all. No hard questions asked."
-------------------------
From the comments:  New Scientist slid off the rails about thirty years ago, but don’t worry.
An excellent magazine called Viz came out around that time and is an ideal replacement
."

‘The Arctic sea ice spiral of death seems to have reversed’

WUWT
The speech by former US Vice-President Al Gore was apocalyptic. ‘The North Polar ice cap is falling off a cliff,’ he said. ‘It could be completely gone in summer in as little as seven years. Seven years from now.’ Those comments came in 2007 as Mr Gore accepted the Nobel Peace Prize for his campaigning on climate change. But seven years after his warning, The Mail on Sunday can reveal that, far from vanishing, the Arctic ice cap has expanded for the second year in succession – with a surge, depending on how you measure it, of between 43 and 63 per cent since 2012.
To put it another way, an area the size of Alaska, America’s biggest state, was open water two years ago, but is again now covered by ice."

Myth of arctic meltdown: Stunning satellite images show summer ice cap is thicker and covers 1.7million square kilometres MORE than 2 years ago...despite Al Gore's prediction it would be ICE-FREE by now

Daily Mail

Saturday, 30 August 2014

Parsing the IPCC’s Piffle

Quadrant Online (Australia)
Warmist politicians and professional alarmists who tell us man-made global warming is an increasing problem are forever repeating the mantra that "the science is settled". Given the acknowledged flaws and discordant findings of their cited models, that confidence reflects either ignorance or deceit. There is no other explanation "

A psychologist’s scathing review of John Cook’s ‘97% consensus’ nonsensus paper

WUWT
Psychologist José Duarte writes: The Cook et al. (2013) 97% paper included a bunch of psychology studies, marketing papers, and surveys of the general public as scientific endorsement of anthropogenic climate change."

Hiding something? BOM throws out Bourke’s hot historic data, changes long cooling trend to warming

JoNova (Australia)
Hello Soviet style weather service? On January 3, 1909, an extremely hot 51.7C (125F) was recorded at Bourke.  It’s possibly the hottest ever temperature recorded in a Stevenson Screen in Australia, but the BOM has removed it as a clerical error. There are legitimate questions about the accuracy of records done so long ago — standards were different. But there are very legitimate questions about the BOMs treatment of this historic data. ‘The BOM has also removed the 40 years of weather recorded before 1910, which includes some very hot times. Now we find out the handwritten original notes  from 62 years of the mid 20th Century were supposed to be dumped in 1996 as well. Luckily, these historic documents were saved from the dustbin and quietly kept in private hands instead."

Monday, 25 August 2014

Meet the scientists who sat Governor Rick Scott down & explained the CAGW scam

The Hockey Schtick
.......Their climate propaganda included


1. Claiming ice core data shows CO2 controls temperature. 

In fact, CO2 levels in ice cores lag temperatures by 800+ years. The cause cannot follow the effect [mathematical & observational proof]. Observations show CO2 lags temperature on short, intermediate, and long-term timescales, therefore, temperature changes drive CO2 levels, not the other way around.   "

US Hurricane Frequency Down 29%

Real Science
Climate experts told us that global warming would cause the US to be devastated by hurricanes.
US hurricane strikes peaked in the 1880’s, are down 29% since the 1870’s and currently the lowest on record."

U.S. Tornado Intensity Index Shows No Upward Trend

WUWT
Whichever method is used, there is a clearly declining trend in intensity."

Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry rips UN IPCC’s ‘expert judgement’ that humans are ‘extremely likely’ responsible for more than half of warming since 1951

Judith Curry

Sunday, 24 August 2014

A Single Meteorologist Explains What $165 Billion In Government-Funded Climate Science Couldn’t

NoTricksZone
Large scale oceanic oscillations responsible for most of the post 1980 “warming”

Surprise! Glaciers appearing in Scotland

WUWT
British Botanists conducting a Summer survey of Scotland’s tallest mountain, Ben Nevis, have been stunned to find evidence of recently formed multi-year ice fields, areas of compacted snow, some of which weigh hundreds of tons.  ...............This is how ice ages start – a buildup of snow which does not melt in the Summer, which leads to a positive feedback loop, as the growing ice sheet reflects more and more sunlight back into space."

Saturday, 23 August 2014

Antarctic sea ice has been above average for 1000 straight days

WUWT
Like watching the number of days that a major hurricane has not made landfall on the United States (now over 3000 days), we can now watch the number of days that Antarctica’s sea ice continues to be above the 30 year baseline. The constant growth is remarkable."

The EU, Climate change, and the giant sucking sound

WUWT
Vacuum cleaners downgraded by the EU to tackle climate change in Europe  ........
I don’t see the point of this. Vacuum cleaners run for a few minutes each week. The amount of energy saved in this transient use of the appliance will be miniscule in the scheme of things."

Time for an audit

JunkScience
EPA was tops for restrictive regulations in 2002 and 2012.  The EPA is also the top in cost of compliance.The Mercatus Center   has a project called Regdata that analyzes the size, scope and impact of federal regulations.  Based on their analysis, the EPA was the leader in restrictive regulations in 2002 and 2012.    .......The US Chamber of Commerce summarizes the effects of the regulatory environment in this article.  EPA regulations are the most costly by far with 2012 regulatory costs >$20 billion.  The 97.2% of the claimed benefits between 2000 and 2013 were from particulate (PM2.5) reduction even when the rule wasn’t about particulate. "

Big Green Hypocrites — Part III

Quadrant Online (Australia)
Every wonder where the largest and loudest green groups get their million-dollar budgets? Forget those small-change contributions you see cup-rattlers collecting outside your local supermarket. The big bucks -- and they are very big indeed -- often arrive via shadowy conduits from some very surprising sources"

The heat is on. Bureau of Meteorology ‘altering climate figures’ — The Australian

JoNova (Australia)
Congratulations to The Australian again for taking the hard road and reporting controversial, hot, documented problems, that few in the Australian media dare to investigate."

NASA – Erasing The Arctic Past

Real Science
In 1950, everyone knew about the massive warming in the Arctic  ......Even NASA/NOAA knew about it until a few years ago, when they decided to erase it. .......In order to get rid of the 1940’s blip, NASA/NOAA cooled temperatures by more than 2C "

How much of this warming is real? How much was created back in the office?

Andrew Bolt, Herald Sun (Australia)
How much can we rely on data adjustments by people convinced the evidence should show a warming?
THE Bureau of Meteorology has been accused of manipulating historic temperature records to fit a predetermined view of global warming.
Researcher Jennifer Marohasy ... has analysed the raw data from dozens of locations across Australia and matched it against the new data used by BOM showing that temperatures were progressively warming.
In many cases, Dr Marohasy said, temperature trends had changed from slight cooling to dramatic warming over 100 years.
BOM has rejected Dr Marohasy’s claims and said the agency had used world’s best practice and a peer reviewed process to modify the physical temperature records that had been recorded at weather stations across the country.
It said data from a selection of weather stations underwent a process known as “homogenisation” to correct for anomalies.
Same accusation in the US:


US measured temperature data (blue below) shows that we have been cooling for nearly a century. But the temperatures reported by NCDC (red below) show the opposite, that the US is warming…

Censorship Alive and Well at Wikipedia

Roy Spencer PhD
That didn’t take long. Less than 24 hours after I noted the use of the “97% of scientists agree” meme as an example of “propaganda techniques” on Wikipedia, the example has disappeared."

Wednesday, 20 August 2014

New UK Flood Normalization

Roger Pielke Jr.'s Blog
There are lots of interesting new studies emerging on trends in disasters and extreme events, and their possible relation to changes in climate, human-caused or otherwise. A new paper in the Hydrological Sciences Journal (Stevens et al. here in PDF) finds no evidence for an increase in UK flooding, once the data is normalized for exposure.   .....Add Stevens et al. 2014 to the large and growing academic literature indicating that increasing disaster losses cannot at present be attributed to human-caused climate change."

Monday, 11 August 2014

The diminishing influence of increasing Carbon Dioxide on temperature

WUWT
So increasing CO2 in the atmosphere can not now inevitably lead directly to much more warming and certainly not to a catastrophic and dangerous temperature increase.
Importantly as the future temperature effect of increasing CO2 emissions can only be so minor, there is no possibility of ever attaining the much vaunted political target of less than +2.0°C by the control of CO2 emissions[3].
Global Warming advocates always assert that all increases in the concentration of CO2 are solely man-made. This is not necessarily so, as the biosphere and slightly warming oceans will also outgas CO2. In any event at ~3% of the total[4] Man-made CO2 at its maximum is only a minor part of the CO2 transport within the atmosphere. The recent IPCC report now admits that currently increasing CO2 levels are probably only ~50% man-made.
On the other hand it is likely that any current global warming, if continuing and increased CO2 is:
§ largely a natural process
§ within normal limits
§ probably beneficial up to about a further 2.0°C+ [5].
It could be not be influenced by any remedial decarbonisation action, however drastic, taken by a minority of nations.
In a rational, non-political world, that prospect should be greeted with unmitigated joy."
 -----------------
ED: from the comments - "notice how the author makes his case from WITHIN the accepted science." ..... and if you can win the argument from within, the case from outside is even stronger.

Sunday, 10 August 2014

Don’t mention the Nuclear Option to Greens

WUWT
 Greens want every possible intervention except one which “solves” their useful crisis "

Massive Increase In Arctic Sea Ice Over The Past Two Years

Real Science
Green shows the huge increase in Arctic sea ice since the same date in 2012. Red shows ice loss "

It's the Sun

The Hockey Schtick
The time integral of solar activity plus ocean oscillations [which are also driven by solar activity] can explain 95% of climate change over the past 400 years. "

80 Years Ago : “Acts Of God Ravaged The Four Corners Of The Globe”

Real Science
and .....
80 Years Ago : 117 Degrees In The Midwest

80 Years Ago, England Had Their Worst Drought In A Century

80 Years Ago : Thousands Of Cattle Shot A Day To End Their Suffering

80 Years Ago: Progressives Starving Millions Of People In The Ukraine


Green MP Caroline Lucas has written to Labour leader Ed Miliband to protest that one of his MPs, Graham Stringer, has been telling the truth about climate change.

James Delingpole, Breitbart
Of the 11 MPs on the Energy and Climate Change Select Committee, only two disagreed with its recent whitewash conclusion that "there is no reason to doubt the credibility of the science or the integrity of the scientists" in the latest IPCC report.
How strange that the two MPs who dissented - Peter Lilley and Graham Stringer - should be the only ones on the committee with science degrees."

Friday, 8 August 2014

German Scientists Aghast At BBC Censorship: “Fear Of A Serious Factual Discussion”…”An Egregious Step”

NoTricksZone
Geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Professor of Chemistry Fritz Vahrenholt also posted today on the BBC’s lapse away from democratic principles: the right to free and open debate on important issues."

Arctic Sea Ice Extent – Aug 8 2014 – Still Approaching One STD

Sunshine Hours
Arctic Sea Ice Extent is -990,000 sq km below the 1981-2010 mean. Very slowly approaching the Standard Deviation bounds."

NOAA Fraud Of The Day

Real Science
NOAA/NASA are making moves towards claiming that 2014 is the hottest year ever, based on their bogus surface temperatures.
More accurate satellite data shows 2014 as quite ordinary, and 0.4C below the hottest year of 1998."

Paper proves Bill Nye's faked 'greenhouse effect' experiment is also based on the wrong 'basic physics'

The Hockey Schtick
Oh dear, the incompetent & faked attempt by Bill Nye to demonstrate the greenhouse effect for Al Gore's Climate "Reality" Project has also been shown by a peer-reviewed paper to be based upon the wrong "basic physics" as well. According to the authors, Nye's experiment and other similar classroom demonstrations allegedly of the greenhouse effect

"All involve comparing the temperature rise in a container filled with air with that of the same or a similar container filled with carbon dioxide when exposed to radiation from the Sun or a heat lamp. Typically, a larger temperature rise is observed with carbon dioxide and the difference is attributed, explicitly or implicitly, to the physical phenomena responsible for the climate change. We argue here that great care is required in interpreting these demonstrations and, in particular, that for the case of the demonstration described by Lueddecke et al., the results arise primarily from processes related to convective heat transport that plays no role in climate change."

Record cold in Antarctica threatens lives of British Antarctic Survey members during power outage – with little chance of rescue

WUWT
Thirteen members of the British Antarctic Survey (BAS) were trapped and in danger of freezing to death when their base, Halley VI, lost power.  Power went down on July 30th and is now partially restored.  The BAS waited to report the incident until power came back up, however now reports that the incident was so serious that all science activities have been suspended and emergency contingency plans to abandon some of Halley’s eight modules and attempt to shelter in a remaining few have been prepared.
The incident is particularly serious, as the station is likely completely cut off from rescue for months.
The incident occurred during the height of the Antarctic winter while southern sea ice is at or near record highs (Marc Morano has details at Climate Depot).
One Survey member, Anthony Lister, managed to send a out a “tweet” when power came back up, reporting that the outage occurred while the station was experiencing record cold temperatures of -55.4° C (-67.72° F).  (h/t Rai news) "

Receding Swiss glaciers incoveniently reveal 4000 year old forests – and make it clear that glacier retreat is nothing new

WUWT
Dr. Christian Schlüchter’s discovery of 4,000-year-old chunks of wood at the leading edge of a Swiss glacier was clearly not cheered by many members of the global warming doom-and-gloom science orthodoxy.
This finding indicated that the Alps were pretty nearly glacier-free at that time, disproving accepted theories that they only began retreating after the end of the little ice age in the mid-19th century. As he concluded, the region had once been much warmer than today, with “a wild landscape and wide flowing river.”

Dr. Schlüchter’s report might have been more conveniently dismissed by the entrenched global warming establishment were it not for his distinguished reputation as a giant in the field of geology and paleoclimatology who has authored/coauthored more than 250 papers and is a professor emeritus at the University of Bern in Switzerland."

Saturday, 2 August 2014

Lunacy on sea: As Ministers agree to the world's biggest wind farm off Brighton, has Britain ever succumbed to a more catastrophic folly?

Daily Mail
The more wind farms we build, the more we will need gas-fired power stations to provide that instantly available back-up, not just to keep our lights on but to keep our computer-dependent economy running at all. And guess who is going to have to pay to keep those gas-fired plants permanently and expensively running on stand-by for when they are needed, chucking out more of Mr Davey’s hated CO2 than is saved by all his wind farms? We are, of course, through our electricity bills."

Who is this Wolf in Sheep’s Clothing?

Pointman (Australia)
As you might be aware, the new administration in Australia has abolished the Carbon Tax and is currently engaged in the arduous task of cutting off the heads of the green Hydra that is government spending on climate alarmism. The climate gravy train is derailing in Australia.
While the article covers political and union corruption, an important thing to note is that most of it was unearthed by a handful of investigative bloggers, citizen researchers and refugee journalists who’d decamped to the blogosphere. None of this would ever have come to light without their tireless and mostly unpaid efforts, because the mainstream media there is a compliant and whipped cur, that long ago had its investigative teeth pulled.
Australia, which not too long ago I thought was doomed to turn into the People’s Democratic Republic of Australistan, is now leading the fight back.
If you’ve ever wondered whether the blogosphere can have an effect, ask Julia Gillard and the Union thieves now desperately scurrying for cover from a Royal Commission’s investigations"

Biomass burning kills 250,000 people a year

JoNova (Australia)
In a study  published in  Journal of American Physicians and Surgeons, Indur Goklany calculated the additional mortality burden of biofuels policies and found that nearly 200,000 people died in 2010 alone, because of efforts to use biofuels to reduce CO2 emissions.
Goklany (2011) estimated that the increase in the poverty headcount due to higher biofuel production between 2010 and 2004 implies 192,000 additional deaths and 6.7 million additional lost DALYs in 2010 alone.
He compared this death tally to the WHO figures for deaths attributed to global warming and finds that the biofuels policies are more deadly. (And he is not including any increase in poverty due to other anti-global warming practices)."

Too much cost, not enough output or too little emissions reduction - Renewable energy is not working

Matt Ridley
Over the past ten years the world has invested more than $600 billion in wind power and $700 billion in solar power. Yet the total contribution those two technologies are now making to the world primary energy supply is still less than 2 per cent. Ouch."

A Dozen States File Suit Against New Coal Rules

NYT
The E.P.A. rule, announced by President Obama on June 2, is aimed at slashing carbon emissions from coal-fired power plants, the nation’s largest source of planet-warming pollution. Under the rule, each state would have to design and submit a plan to cut carbon pollution, which must then be approved by the E.P.A.
The states’ lawsuit contends that the E.P.A. lacks legal authority in the matter. The agency wants to release the final rule under the terms of the Clean Air Act, which requires the federal government to regulate all substances defined as pollutants. The E.P.A. determined in 2009 that carbon dioxide met the definition of a pollutant, a decision that has withstood numerous legal challenges.
But the states say that the E.P.A. may not issue separate regulations on power plants using different sections of the Clean Air Act.
In 2011, the E.P.A. issued regulations governing mercury emissions; thus, the plaintiffs say, it does not have the authority to issue a new regulation on carbon emissions from the same power plants. 

ED: What Global Warming ????

Never give up on a power grab

Junk Science
A few weeks ago, EPA quietly tried to reinterpret its authority and wanted to garnish wages from those who owe it a debt. After a storm of criticism from Members of Congress and the public, EPA pulled back.
However, the agency is still trying to grant itself this power, only this time it’s going through the standard notice-and-comment process that most federal regulations go through."

Global Temperature Update – Still no global warming for 17 years 10 months

WUWT
The hiatus period of 17 years 10 months, or 214 months, is the farthest back one can go in the RSS satellite temperature record and still show a zero trend.
Yet the length of the Great Pause in global warming, significant though it now is, is of less importance than the ever-growing discrepancy between the temperature trends predicted by models and the far less exciting real-world temperature change that has been observed."

Anti-fracking 'expert' and question marks over his credentials: Ex punk rocker 'lied and peddled pseudo science'

Daily Mail
  • David Smythe accused of being less than totally honest over his credentials as shale gas expert 
  • Retired geologist has been prominent in highlighting dangers of fracking
  • Professor at his old university accuses him of 'pseudo-scientific scaremongering' 
  • Geological Society demands he stops claiming to be chartered geologist 
  • Mr Smythe insists he has done extensive research into unconventional energy extraction
Glasgow University, where he last worked in 1998, has told him he must not suggest that its academics share his views.
And Prof Paul Younger, Glasgow’s professor of energy engineering, said Mr Smythe – who played bass guitar in the 70s punk band The Rezillos – was unqualified to give expert evidence on fracking, having retired 16 years ago.
’He has published nothing on (shale gas) in any proper scientific forum – no doubt because he knows he would never get past peer review with his pseudo-scientific scaremongering.’

Friday, 1 August 2014

BREAKING: Senate report exposes the climate-environmental movement as being a cash machine controlling the EPA

WUWT
A new report was released today by the Senate Environment and Public Works committee, and it is damning. All this time that climate skeptics are accused of being in the employ of “big oil” is nothing more than a projection of their own greed.
Some excerpts:
Over 7.9 BILLION in funding between these groups. "

Remember the threat of flooded atolls and climate refugees due to sea level rise? Never mind.

WUWT
The Maldives, for all its troubles and supposed climate worries, doesn’t seem to get the fact that the last thing you do is spend money on new airports, passenger terminals, and cargo terminals on the islands you are supposedly going to have to eventually abandon.
Having your hand out for “climate change trust money” while building new airports to handle increased tourism doesn’t wash. “Scam” is too nice of a word to use here."

Climate Science Wrong For 120 Years

TA
Despite the passage of 20 Centuries the modern day rune casters are no more accurate than their distant ancestors were, the expensive and religiously revered “Computer Models” have yet to predict any event that has actually happened, yet their erroneous results still trump observed empirical evidence. The Climate Change catastrophe is not a new phenomenon, it first appeared as we know it today in the closing years of the 19th Century: ..."