"Carbon (Dioxide) trading is now the fastest growing commodities market on earth.....And here’s the great thing about it. Unlike traditional commodities markets, which will eventually involve delivery to someone in physical form, the carbon (dioxide) market is based on lack of delivery of an invisible substance to no-one. Since the market revolves around creating carbon (dioxide) credits, or finding carbon (dioxide) reduction projects whose benefits can then be sold to those with a surplus of emissions, it is entirely intangible." (Telegraph)
This blog has been tracking the 'Global Warming Scam' for over ten years now. There are a very large number of articles being published in blogs and more in the MSM who are waking up to the fact the public refuse to be conned any more and are objecting to the 'green madness' of governments and the artificially high price of energy. This blog will now be concentrating on the major stories as we move to the pragmatic view of 'not if, but when' and how the situation is managed back to reality. To quote Professor Lindzen, "a lot of people are going to look pretty silly"
PS: If you have arrived here on a page link, then click on the HOME link...
Friday, 19 June 2015
Plenty has changed. The climate debate, so long polarised between zealots and deniers, has cooled. It is now (just about) possible to question the wisdom of an environmentalist policy without being denounced as a global warming denier. This applies to scientists, too: global temperatures have not been warming significantly for about 17 years now, encouraging a closer look at climate variability. The fracking revolution in the United States mean its natural gas prices have fallen to less then the average in Europe. As a result, heavy industry (and jobs) are flooding back to former rustbelt states. The scientific consensus has not changed: the planet is warming and mankind is, at least in part, responsible. Action is certainly needed. But how to help, without hurting too much?
There is another climate problem: the fact that at least 15,000 British pensioners die of the cold each winter. It’s a staggering death toll, which has been greeted with a shrug for far too long. But this, too, is ending. The notion of “fuel poverty” is being more widely recognised – and green subsidy is compounding the problem. Much of it is raised by slapping an invisible tax on energy bills, costing the average household some £150 a year – a figure that is only set to rise."
In the paper `The Arctic Fallacy’, Dr Susan Crockford, an expert in Arctic mammals, notes that reductions in polar bear populations are clearly linked to thick spring ice, which reduces the availability of the bears’ prey. Despite this, scientists routinely blame reductions in summer ice, despite there being little evidence to support the idea: in fact years of low summer ice extent are often accompanied by big increases in bear populations. According to Dr Crockford, polar bear scientists are being `willfully blind to the facts’.
Professor Matthew Cronin of the University of Alaska, the author of the paper’s Foreword said: `The constant chorus declaring crises for high-profile wildlife is dangerous, not only to science and economics, but because we might not pay attention when real threats arise’.
However, we also know that there are next to no temperature monitoring stations anywhere near the North Pole. To fill these gaps, GISS rely on temperature readings from land stations up to 1200km away."
As he well knows, this has nothing to do with “a change to the long term trends”. If I was born in 1979 and grew till I was 19 years old, would that mean that I was simply growing more slowly now?
Even the UK Met Office acknowledged the pause in July 2013:
The start of the current pause is difficult to determine precisely. Although 1998 is often quoted as the start of the current pause, this was an exceptionally warm year because of the largest El Niño in the instrumental record. This was followed by a strong La Niña event and a fall in global surface temperature of around 0.2oC (Figure 1), equivalent in magnitude to the average decadal warming trend in recent decades. It is only really since 2000 that the rise in global surface temperatures has paused.
Certainly the pause is still a short term phenomena (though getting close to a significant length of time according to Phil Jones!) But so, of course, was the 19 years of warming seen previously. "
Normally by this date, about 20% of the Greenland ice sheet is melting. This year only about 5%, which is the slowest on record. ......
Government experts say that Greenland is melting down, because they are paid to produce propaganda for the White House, not do actual science."
Electricity prices are soaring in states generating the most wind power, U.S. Energy Information Administration data show. Although U.S. electricity prices rose less than 3 percent from 2008-2013, the 10 states with the highest percentage of wind power generation experienced average electricity price increases of more than 20 percent."
Friday, 12 June 2015
Why must a doctors’ union form an official view on whether the global warming scare is really, really real?
What on earth it its expertise in climate science, and why must its members have a collective view?
And can Brian Owler rule out standing for Labor preselection? .....
There has been no real warming of the atmosphere 17 years now. Shouldn’t Owler be asking instead why the predictions he touts should be believed when the models have been so wrong for so long?
And shouldn’t he actually assure patients here that a warmer world is probably a healthier world?"
NASA is surely learning a lot from OCO-2, but the findings may not be “politically correct”.
Amber Rudd has made her first big decision as Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change, granting planning consent to build the world’s first tidal lagoon in Swansea that “could” generate around 500GWh per year.
Constructing the lagoon will entail building a six mile sea wall, complete with 16 underwater turbines around Swansea Bay.
The project will cost around £1 billion and the developers are asking for £168 tax payer subsidy for every MWh they produce. The current market price is around £41 MWh… "
Discredited anti-fracking charity MEDACT is making a last ditch effort to influence Lancashire County Council’s 24 June vote on whether to allow fracking, by holding a public meeting in Preston next week, in which they will wheel out their “experts“.
The only expert announced so far is one John Ashton, a former civil servant and the founder of environmental not-for -profit E3G.
E3G receives funding from the Department of Energy & Climate Change.
And the Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs.
And the Department for International Development.
Oh, and the Foreign & Commonwealth Office.
The government is funding the opposition to its own fracking policy…"
Friday, 5 June 2015
Seven steps to unfind the Pause?Anthony Watts, Bob Tisdale, Judith Curry, Pat Michaels, Richard Lindzen, Paul C. Knappenberger, and the GWPF and Fred Singer have already taken it apart.
- Use a weak test: p < 0.1, not the usual significance. Bit desperate.
- Use assumptions and apply large adjustments to sea surface data. Don’t use the best dataset for sea-surface temps (ARGO). Ignore the satellites.
- Create Arctic sea surface temperatures by extending data from land measurements. The ocean there is covered in ice. There aren’t many land measurements to go from. What could possibly go wrong?
- Don’t mention the eighties or nineties. The fastest recent global warming occurred in the 1980′s and1990′s. Obviously the 2000′s are red-light bad news for the alarm-us camp, because that was when CO2 emissions increased dramatically but the warming slowed. The worst possible thing is to compare those decadal trends to the previous ones.
- Cherry pick the time frames! Karl et al carefully choose a long trend — all the way back to the 1950s – in order to find a weak long term warming trend that the recent decade can outdo. Back in the 50s and 60s, the world was cooling, so wrapping in and averaging the long cooling and then warming cycle, they can come up with a small warming trend number.
- To find warming in the sea surface during the pause, it helps to adjust the late 90′s sea surface temps down and the recent measurements up, thus increasing the trend in the last 15 years, but not affecting the trend across the whole period. Check.
- Ignore contradictions like: why can’t we find a hot spot? If the surface warmed more than we thought, the upper troposphere should have warmed even faster. This means the missing hot spot is more missing than before.
Oh boy! Get ready to watch yet another big fight about climate change – this time mainly among different groups of climate alarmists. Is there a “pause”? Did global climate really stop warming during the last dozen years, 18 years, or even 40 years – in spite of rising levels of the greenhouse (GH) gas carbon dioxide?
Science mag is publishing a blockbuster paper today, on June 5. The renowned National Climate Data Center (NCDC), a division of NOAA located in Asheville, NC, claims that the widely reported (and accepted) temperature hiatus (i.e., near-zero trend) is an illusion – just an artifact of data analysis – and that the global climate never really stopped warming. If true, what a blessing that would be for the UN-IPCC – and for climate alarmists generally, who have been under siege to explain the cause of the pause.
This paper is turning out to be a “big deal.” The publisher of Science has even issued a special press release, promoting the NCDC claim of continued slow but steady warming.
Of course, NCDC-NOAA and Science may end up with egg on their collective faces. It does look a little suspicious that NCDC arrived at this earth-shaking “discovery” after all these years, after “massaging” its own weather-station data, just before the big policy conference in December in Paris that is supposed to slow the rise of CO2 from the burning of energy fuels, coal, oil, and gas."
Ahead of the Paris meeting, government climate scientists are now telling 100% lies, 100% of the time.
NASA/NOAA surface temperature data is massively diverging from more accurate satellite data.
........So instead of correcting the surface data to match the more accurate satellite temperatures, government climate scientists are doing the exact opposite and altering the data to make it even worse. .......NASA has known for 25 years that satellite data is more accurate than surface data, but it gives the wrong political answer so they continue to ignore it. Why would the US space agency trust satellites?
Bad news people: scientists have discovered that global warming didn’t stop in 1998 after all. The lack of statistically significant warming – often called the “pause” or “hiatus” – has long baffled climate scientists whose computer models are showing impending global warming doom.
So, how did the top boffins at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration work out that everyone had been reading the thermometer wrong?
They “corrected” the data by boosting the temperature readings from some ocean buoy recorders, upping ship-based temperature readings and raising land-based temperature readings. And just for good measure they adjusted the pre “pause” data downwards. If they were accountants, that would be called fraud…