"Carbon (Dioxide) trading is now the fastest growing commodities market on earth.....And here’s the great thing about it. Unlike traditional commodities markets, which will eventually involve delivery to someone in physical form, the carbon (dioxide) market is based on lack of delivery of an invisible substance to no-one. Since the market revolves around creating carbon (dioxide) credits, or finding carbon (dioxide) reduction projects whose benefits can then be sold to those with a surplus of emissions, it is entirely intangible." (Telegraph)
This blog has been tracking the 'Global Warming Scam' for over ten years now. There are a very large number of articles being published in blogs and more in the MSM who are waking up to the fact the public refuse to be conned any more and are objecting to the 'green madness' of governments and the artificially high price of energy. This blog will now be concentrating on the major stories as we move to the pragmatic view of 'not if, but when' and how the situation is managed back to reality. To quote Professor Lindzen, "a lot of people are going to look pretty silly"
PS: If you have arrived here on a page link, then click on the HOME link...
Sunday, 29 November 2015
More recently, despite rising CO2, there was a cooling of climate for 37 years from 1940 and measurements show no increase in temperature over the past 17 years.
Global warming, with interruptions, has therefore continued since the end of the last Ice Age unrelated to CO2 levels. The 600 million year geological record shows levels of CO2 varied from 200 ppm (0.02%) to 7,000 ppm (0.7%). The significant fall from 7,000 ppm was mainly due to removal of CO2 in marine skeletal material to form vast limestone deposits. At that time the ocean could not have been acid otherwise the limestone would have dissolved.
The present level is near 400 ppm (0.04%) and this could double only if all the known fossil fuel reserves were used but would still be well below past high levels of CO2 which did not cause dangerous warming. Plants evolved in the Cambrian Period when CO2 levels were typically near 5,000 ppm (0.5%) which provides further evidence that past higher levels of CO2 did not cause dangerous global warming. "
First, it should be explained that global surface temperature has not risen significantly for the last eighteen-or-so years. According to theoretical models, it should have been rising strongly and continually as a consequence of human-induced emissions of carbon dioxide. The problem is that the campaign to sell the concept of dangerous global warming has been so successful that it is now not an option for scientists to admit in so many words that their models are wrong. .........The political problem is that there is already a suspicion within the general community that past temperature records have been deliberately manipulated over the years so as to tune surface temperature measurements in directions that support the global warming thesis."
Correlation is not causation, but many, if not all, of man’s worst times since the last glacial maximum occur during colder and dryer periods. Often these times were made worse by warfare as in the Greek Dark Ages, the sacking of Rome, the collapse of the Akkadian Empire, etc. The colder and more arid climate could have been part of the cause of the wars. We go to war when we are starving and thirsty. More importantly, I was unable to find evidence of a crisis that was due to warming.
Given that man-made Carbon Dioxide is a very recent phenomenon, the radical climatic changes before 200 years ago cannot be attributed to man’s influence. They must be natural. The recent warming of 0.85°C from 1880 to 2012 is pretty small compared to other temperature changes in the Holocene. It is clear from history that natural forces can cause significant climate changes. It is also clear that droughts are usually associated with colder periods, not warmer periods. Some climate changes are probably due to variations in the Earth’s orbit, but some might be due to variations in TSI (total solar irradiance) or other solar influences. How much is due to nature and how much is due to man is unknown.
Much of the last 18,000 years is characterized by more rapid sea-level rise than we see today. The current rise of sea level is very slow relative to the past and we are arguably more adaptable due to modern technology."
Saturday, 28 November 2015
Uh oh. Just what Kevin Rudd would have said:
Malcolm Turnbull has urged Commonwealth countries to make a powerful statement on combating climate change on the eve of the crucial Paris summit, and has met his Canadian counterpart Justin Trudeau, who wants “strong leadership’’ on climate.
In a special session at the Commonwealth Heads of Government meeting in Malta, the Prime Minister urged leaders to sign up to a CHOGM climate change statement to boost momentum ahead of the so-called 21st Conference of the Parties (COP) in Paris.
“Ahead of COP 21 it is a powerful signal to other countries of the world to show a similar level of ambition and commitment to working together for a strong result in Paris,” Mr Turnbull told the session…
Mr Turnbull also announced that Australia would provide $1 million to the Commonwealth Climate Finance Access Hub, which will be based in Mauritius."
Concern over climate change needs to be understood in its historical context. Activists, scientists, and politicians have been delivering ultimatums to the public for decades: stop what you’re doing, follow our advice, or humanity perishes.
Can you guess when the following proclamations were made? ....................
...........There are many personality types out there. Some people need drama. They enjoy scaring the kiddies, denouncing sin, and threatening non-believers with hellfire and damnation. Life apparently isn’t rich enough for these souls; they need to imagine themselves participants in humanity’s “defining moment.”
But the most non-renewable resource of all is time – that finite portion allotted to each of us here on this dazzling blue and green sphere. Life is short. We mustn’t let the doom mongers and drama queens dominate too much of it."
No one knows, nor will ever know, if man-made climate change even exists outside of imaginative thinking and flawed computer models. So no one can ever know if it's defeated or not. But climate change is a handy windmill for leaders to tilt against. Their sincere opposition to it makes them look, they think, like heavyweight statesmen and global superstars seeking a solution.
This also happens on the national stage. Fred Barnes has observed in the Weekly Standard that "President Obama and Democrats can't stop talking about" climate change. Obama has even called the Paris global warming summit "a powerful rebuke to the terrorists" because they will see the world stand "as one."
Could a president have ever uttered a more cynical statement than that? It has to be an effort to intentionally mislead and obscure, because no one could truly believe those words.
Yet the political left yearns to hear them, and Democrats happily supply them. Meanwhile, a real threat that has killed thousands of innocents and threatens to kill thousands more gets no U.N. summit.
Ignoring normal education standards, while celebrating the conversion of government funded schools into climate madrasas, preaching extreme religious doctrine, is the kind of trend which is normally associated with third world trouble spots, not with a modern country like Australia."
Curry’s independence has cost her dear. She began to be reviled after the 2009 ‘Climategate’ scandal, when leaked emails revealed that some scientists were fighting to suppress sceptical views. ‘I started saying that scientists should be more accountable, and I began to engage with sceptic bloggers. I thought that would calm the waters. Instead I was tossed out of the tribe. There’s no way I would have done this if I hadn’t been a tenured professor, fairly near the end of my career. If I were seeking a new job in the US academy, I’d be pretty much unemployable. I can still publish in the peer-reviewed journals. But there’s no way I could get a government research grant to do the research I want to do. Since then, I’ve stopped judging my career by these metrics. I’m doing what I do to stand up for science and to do the right thing.’
Wednesday, 25 November 2015
Earth’s atmosphere has not warmed for decades, as shown by both satellites and radiosonde data.However, the White House is desperate to create a fake climate legacy, and had their employees at NOAA and NASA tamper with temperature data – so that 100% fraudulent headlines like this could come out ahead of the Paris conference. ......... ........The only record being broken is the amount of data tampering going on at government agencies. Until the latest massive fraud push ahead of Paris, NASA and NOAA both made it clear that Earth was not warming significantly this century.Satellite temperatures make it clear that the NASA/NOAA graphs are nonsense. Here in the US, we have been having progressively less hot weather – with the last three years being among the least hot on record. The NASA and NOAA graphs do not have anything to do with the actual temperatures on Earth. Their only purpose is to confuse people into believing that they do.
But the illusion is much worse than it seems. Even after all of the data tampering. temperatures are tracking right at Hansen’s zero emissions Scenario C. Meaning that their models and theory have completely failed."
The adjustments that GHCN have made are massive, and have turned a cooling trend into a rapidly warming one."
A German professor has confirmed what skeptics from Britain to the US have long suspected: that NASA’s Goddard Institute of Space Studies has largely invented “global warming” by tampering with the raw temperature data records.Professor Dr. Friedrich Karl Ewert is a retired geologist and data computation expert. He has painstakingly examined and tabulated all NASA GISS’s temperature data series, taken from 1153 stations and going back to 1881. His conclusion: that if you look at the raw data, as opposed to NASA’s revisions, you’ll find that since 1940 the planet has been cooling, not warming."
Climate/Geology Professor Friedrich-Karl Ewert Says “Standards Of Science Not Met” By Climate Models
Ewert writes that much evidence exists showing that CO2 emissions are meaningless, but that the evidence simply gets ignored.
One example is the more than 100 years of measured temperature readings that taken from weather stations worldwide. This is the reason it was necessary to manually evaluate the registered temperatures from 1881 to 2010 in detail. The results are available in the pdf-file report. The chart above summarizes what was found. It shows:
– that four cooling phases and three warming phases occurred between 1881 and 2010,
– that stronger warming occurred before CO2 emissions began in earnest, and despite the longer cooling phases,
– that the temperature over the first 100 years even cooled slightly, and
– that there is no recognizable effect by CO2 emissions on temperatures."
Stephan Lewandowsky of the University of Bristol, says there is no evidence for a global warming hiatus. NOAA reported the hiatus. NASA reported the hiatus. CRU reported the hiatus. All of the most recent satellite data sets report the hiatus. NOAA Radiosonde data reported the hiatus. The only evidence that a hiatus didn’t occur is the most recent NOAA/NASA data, which is being investigated by Congress after whistleblowers came forward to report political manipulation and improper procedures."
The new poll also found that Americans are largely unconcerned with climate change, which the Obama administration has repeatedly pointed to as the nation’s top security threat. Only 3 percent of respondents said that global warming was the most important issue facing the country today, down from 5 percent in a Fox poll released last August."
A new Fox News poll finds that in the wake of the Paris terror attacks, the issue of terrorism has become the top concern of American voters. Only 3 percent of respondents said that global warming was the most important issue facing the country today. "
Extra deaths between December and March were up 151% on the previous year and the biggest annual jump since 1967/68. ....The ONS said the rise might be "related to the greater vulnerability of people with these conditions to respiratory diseases, difficulties with self-care, and falls, all of which may be more important in winter months". More people died over the period in the South West while the lowest figure was for Yorkshire and The Humber, and Wales. Energy firms last year raised prices for gas and electricity despite a fall in wholesale prices. "
Monday, 23 November 2015
This is not reporting but propagandising.
ABC Radio National Breakfast this morning aired a report on the upcoming Paris conference on global warming - the background to them and what allegedly needs doing.
All four people interviewed were warming activists, and not one was a climate scientist, let alone a member of a scientific or government body. No sceptic was interviewed, of course. All scare, no balance.
The line up:
- professional warming alarmist Tim Flannery, notorious for his dud predictions.Why no balance? Isn’t the ABC required by law to give it?"
- Tony Wood, from the Grattan Institute.
- a spokesman from the Climate ActionTracker group of activists.
- Erwin Jackson of the Climate Institute.
ED : Taking the lead from the BBC ?
Canada’s Alberta to introduce economy-wide carbon tax in 2017
Sunday, November 22, 2015 MIKE DE SOUZA FOR REUTERS.....
One really must ask: “What planet are these people from?” MORE taxes to “help us access new markets”? Taxes KILL or at best WOUND the thing taxed. You will have LESS employment, smaller markets, and fewer of them.
Alberta has the world’s third largest crude reserves, but its oil sands industry is also Canada’s fastest growing source of greenhouse gas emissions.Well, that explains it. Nothing like tossing a stink bomb into “the world’s third largest crude reserves” to put a crowbar into the works of western democracies. Well, at least we won’t need the XL Pipeline as market forces push to expand other supplies first and faster."
That status has prompted fierce opposition from environmental groups to proposed pipelines that would allow the industry to access new markets, including the recently rejected Keystone XL pipeline, proposed by TransCanada Corp.
Alberta’s energy sector has also been hammered with thousands of layoffs in recent months due to slumping global oil prices.
The Week That Was: 2015-11-21 (Nov 21, 2015) Brought to You by SEPP http://www.sepp.org The Science and Environmental Policy Project (SEPP)
Quote of the Week:
“It must be remembered that there is nothing more difficult to plan, more doubtful of success, nor more dangerous to manage than a new system. For the initiator has the enmity of all who would profit by the preservation of the old institution and merely lukewarm defenders in those who gain by the new ones.” – Niccolò Machiavelli
Number of the Week: $16.5 Trillion
Winston Churchill famously defined an appeaser as someone who feeds a crocodile, hoping it will eat him last. In the debate about global warming, business, especially large corporations, is the largest sector of appeasers and some, like Volkswagen, are now, rightfully, paying the price. .....
Volkswagen’s deception was a self-deception because with some of the best engineers and scientists, they chose to accept the claims of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Clearly they did not look at the IPCC reports because if they had they would discover what Klaus-Eckart Puls discovered.
“Ten years ago I simply parroted what the IPCC told us. One day I started checking the facts and data—first I started with a sense of doubt but then I became outraged when I discovered that much of what the IPCC and the media were telling us was sheer nonsense and was not even supported by any scientific facts and measurements. To this day I still feel shame that as a scientist I made presentations of their science without first checking it.” ”Scientifically it is sheer absurdity to think we can get a nice climate by turning a CO2 adjustment knob.”
Environmental activists have suggested the brutal terror attack in Paris has improved the chances of getting a climate deal at the COP 21 meeting."
How many Presidential candidates are susceptible to groupthink, scare campaigns and low-base science agitprop? Thanks to Seth Borenstein, Michael Mann & Andrew Dessler we can rank them according to their ability to resist profoundly unscientific propaganda like “there is a consensus”.
Ted Cruz is clearly the best at holding his own in the independent thinker stakes. Ben Carson and Donald Trump do well. But poor Hillary Clinton doesn’t stand a chance against the onslaught of junk graphs, hyperbolic claims, and inane bumper-sticker cliches."
Sunday, 22 November 2015
But at least these ill winds blow good to someone. Coral and Ladbrokes have made a fortune this year from punters silly enough to believe what the Met Office tells them. When, for instance, the bookies offered tempting odds that we could expect the “hottest July ever”, its temperatures were in fact “below average”. The supposed “wettest ever August” ranked only 34th in a century."
She seems wholly oblivious to the fact that, with the approach of that Paris climate conference, both China and India have announced that, over the next 15 years, they plan to double and triple their CO2 emissions by building hundreds more coal-fired power stations. They each plan to add more CO2 every year than the mere 1.2 per cent of global man-made CO2 emitted by Britain.
Ms Rudd may wish us to take pride in committing national suicide, “to set an example to the rest of the world”. But the rest of the world is not taking a blind bit of notice."
Amber Rudd has set out a plan to switch from coal to gas generation, but first she has to persuade the industry to finance the huge cost.....As my colleague Emily Gosden pointed out last week, nobody would willingly build new gas fired capacity knowing that it will be needed for only short periods of time as back-up for intermittent renewables. Without subsidy, or exceptionally high prices when generating, it makes no sense.
Besides its humongous costs, the present trajectory also looks set to deliver an energy system whose supply potential is vastly bigger than what’s actually needed. To ensure the required level of overcapacity, consumers would be forced to pay through the nose.
However much Ms Rudd might wish it otherwise, the stupidities of UK energy policy are never going to be far from the headlines."
Friday, 20 November 2015
"Climate change is one of the greatest challenges of our time. We are already seeing its effects with rising seas, catastrophic wildfires and water shortages.
If we don’t act on climate now, this list is just the tip of the iceberg of what we can expect in years to come…"
Sea level has been rising for the past 20,000 years., most of that time much faster than now. Saying that we are “already seeing sea level rise” is meaningless propaganda. The Neanderthals were also “already seeing sea level rise.” Forest fire burn acreage is down 80% since the 1930’s. Blaming fires on climate change is utterly absurd.Droughts have become less common and less intense over the past century. Blaming droughts on climate change is utterly absurd.The DOI article is meaningless junk science. There is nothing we can do to “act on climate” The climate isn’t influenced by mindless superstition."
Exposing the well funded & manufactured campaign of blame on the ‘Exxon knew climate change would be dangerous’ fiasco
New Disclosures Help Pull Back Curtain on Who’s Funding Manufactured Climate Investigation"
ED: Read the article .....
Ross McKittrick writes via email:
A UK-based math buff and former investment analyst named Douglas Keenan has posted an intriguing comment on the internet. He takes the view that global temperature series are dominated by randomness and contain no trend, and that existing analyses supposedly showing a significant trend are wrong."
- Luboš Motl ,Pilsen, Czech Republic
- If no one wins Keenan's $100,000, it's pretty much a settled fact that the claims about a statistically reliable proof of global warming deduced from the temperature data are flawed. But feel free to try to win the challenge and be free to identify errors in my reasoning."
Veteran journalist Günter Ederer* writes a piece reporting that massive alterations have been found in the NASA GISS temperature data series, citing a comprehensive analysis conducted by a leading German scientist. These results are now available to the public."
From the publicly available data, Ewert made an unbelievable discovery: Between the years 2010 and 2012 the data measured since 1881 were altered so that they showed a significant warming, especially after 1950. […] A comparison of the data from 2010 with the data of 2012 shows that NASA-GISS had altered its own datasets so that especially after WWII a clear warming appears – although it never existed.”
Monday, 16 November 2015
Kyoji Kimoto, a Japanese chemist, scientist, and fuel-cell computer modeler & inventor, has a new essay below explaining why the basic anthropogenic global warming hypothesis is wrong and leads to highly exaggerated climate sensitivity to doubled CO2. Kimoto finds climate sensitivity of only 0.14C, a factor of 21 times smaller than the IPCC canonical climate sensitivity estimate of ~3C per doubled CO2. "
In 1988, NASA’s James Hansen claimed droughts re getting worse, and that the odds of drought in the 1950’s were only one in twenty. The exact opposite has happened. and in fact the frequency of drought in the 1950’s was 50%, not 5% as Hansen claimed. How could he make a mistake that bad, and not be called out on it by the New York Times? The worst drought in US history was in 1934, when 80% of the US was in drought. The 1934 drought was also the worst in England’s history. In fact, the 1934 drought was worldwide – with CO2 below 310 PPM. There is no correlation between drought and the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. Why aren’t climate scientists interested in doing some actual research, and finding out what caused the 1934 global drought – rather than just blaming farmers in Oklahoma for it like they usually do."
The Paris climate talks next month are partly about creating a $US100b-a-year climate fund to help the Third World adjust to hypothesized global warming. In a bit of political theatre (we taxpayers bought her tickets), Foreign Affairs Minister Julie Bishop last December pledged $200m to this fund, rhapsodizing about “investment, infrastructure, energy, forestry and emissions reductions.” [i] The Climate Fund is now taking heat for corruption and non-transparency. Newsweek, although a fervently warmist journal, ran a piece to that effect a few days ago.
An inkling of how such money actually gets spent comes from our Bangladesh example. Transparency International Bangladesh audited a $A4.5m project financed by a climate-change trust fund administered by the Bangladeshi government. It also tried to audit a sister-fund provided by aid donors, but couldn’t find enough documentation to even start the audit! One of its trenchant recommendations was to “mete out exemplary punishments to corrupt individuals.”
The government-funded plan was to build cyclone-resistant housing at Khulna for an abjectly poor community devastated by Cyclone Aila. The photo shows what was actually built for grandmother Mrs Khadija Begum — a 4metre x 5metre house with no walls."
Friday, 13 November 2015
After a short spike around the year 2000, temperatures in southwest Greenland have been plummeting since 2003, are the coldest this year since 1993, and are averaging no warmer now than they were in the 19th century.
Climate experts insist that Greenland is melting down, because their money, reputations and scam now depends entirely on continuing to lie about the climate."
Readers of WUWT and millions of climate skeptics have read this article before, and in fact it is likely one of the most cited articles ever that illustrates the chutzpah and sheer hubris on display from a climate scientist who was so certain he could predict the future with certainty. Dr. David Viner of the Climatic Research Unit who famously said:
From the Independent’s most cited article: Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past by Charles Onians:
However, the warming is so far manifesting itself more in winters which are less cold than in much hotter summers. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.It seems however, that after over 15 years, the Independent has removed that article, .........
“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.
Fortunately, I have preserved the entire article as a PDF for posterity:
Snowfalls are now just a thing of the past – The Independent (PDF)
One wonders about the timing, whether it is related to the upcoming COP21 climate confab in Paris, or if it was simply some blunder, oversight, or archive purge on the part of The Independent."
Wednesday, 11 November 2015
Lomborg: Paris climate pact will reduce temperature increase by the end of the century by a whopping 0.05°C
Subsidizing inefficient renewables is expensive and doesn’t work. The IEA estimates that we get 0.4% of our energy from wind and solar PV right now, and even in optimistic scenarios the fraction will only rise to 2.2% by 2040. Over the next 25 years, we’ll spend about $2.5 trillion in subsidies and reduce global warming temperatures by less than 0.02°C."
Note that in all cases, these are the optimistic numbers, in which the supposed reductions in CO2 emissions are assumed to continue after 2030 all the way until 2100.
Of particular interest to me was the impact of the Obama War On Coal, or as it is known, the US Clean Power Plan (USCPP). Even if we can implement it, and then assuming we can follow it until 2100, the total reduction in temperature rise is estimated to be 0.013°C.
Now, that’s a bit over a hundredth of a degree Celsius. The problem is, nobody has a good handle on just how small that reduction in temperature actually is, because we have nothing to compare it to. Even fever thermometers only measure to a tenth of a degree. Casting about to rephrase this number in units that might be more understandable than hundredths of a degree, I remembered the old rule of thumb about how much the air cools off as you climb a mountain. Everyone knows that as you go up a mountain, the air gets cooler. The rate at which non-condensing air cools with increasing altitude is called the “dry adiabatic lapse rate”. The rule of thumb states that for every hundred metres higher that you climb, the temperature drops by 1°C.
Now, a human being is typically around 1.7 metres tall, plus or minus. This means that other things being equal, the air at your head is about 0.017°C cooler than the air at your feet. And recall from above that the “impact of the US Clean Power Plan (USCPP) is a reduction in temperature rise by 0.013°C by 2100” …
Which means that after spending billions of dollars and destroying valuable power plants and reducing our energy options and making us more dependent on Middle East oil, all we will do is make the air around our feet as cool as the air around our heads … I am overcome with gratitude for such a stupendous accomplishment. Seriously. The sum total of the entire restructuring of the US energy production will be to make the air around our feet as cool as the air around our heads."
In 2008, all of the temperature data sets showed that global warming rates over the last decade were “much less” than the prior decades. NOAA graphs showed no temperature rise after 1998. This didn’t suit the requirements of the White House ahead of Paris, so NOAA simply inverted reality, massively tampered with the data, and announced that warming was “as fast or faster” than it was previously. They made the hiatus disappear, the Enron way. Via good old fashioned accounting fraud. Shameless liars.They are under subpoena to turn over to Congress all of their E-mails related to this fraud, but are refusing to provide them."
Here is a new stunner in the world of government climate fraud. The UK Met Office is claiming that 2015 temperatures are above 1C anomaly, due to human influence. Besides all the other fraud incorporated in this press release, the real stunner is that they are lying about their own data – which shows 0.7C warming – not 1C. The entire basis of their claim is fraudulent, except for the “human influence” part. The human influence being ongoing fraud. And of course their partners in crime at the Guardian have picked up on this without doing any checking. "
This video gives me hope. Finally we are starting to see more sane commentary in western parliaments. David TC Davies MP shows how politicians can master enough of the scientific details on this debate to crush the usual bumper-sticker trite “consensus” hogwash. He talks of Roman warming, the Medieval Warm Period, the Younger Dryas, the age of the Earth. It’s high school science type level, but more than enough to expose some of the silliness. He also counters the “climate change denier” tag. He cites just enough key numbers to back up each of his points. His skill here is in prioritizing the numbers that matter. Here’s hoping a few of the silent political skeptics will feel more confident to speak out. The bullying and namecalling breaks when enough people stand up to it. That’s coming."
Monday, 9 November 2015
In August 2015, the Obama administration announced its Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) plan to cut a national average of 32 percent of carbon dioxide emissions by 2030 from power plants’ 2005 levels. ..................
Carbon dioxide is not toxic to humans at current or any reasonably projected levels, and the EPA knows it. Reducing carbon dioxide saves no lives. The lives EPA claims will be saved by the rule would result from ancillary reductions in ozone, sulfur dioxide, and other pollutants also to be reduced by the rule. We don’t need CPP for that. These and other potential air toxins are already being reduced by technological improvements and other EPA regulations. The EPA is attempting to double-count these lives as being saved by the CPP in order to show some benefits to justify the rule’s atrocious costs."
Commenting on wobbly Wednesday, the distinguished energy expert Professor Dieter Helm said: “We are now sailing very close to the wind.” I am not sure whether he was playing with that metaphor, but he is right. Of electricity generated in Britain in 2014, 19 per cent came from renewables, the majority of that being wind. So if there ain’t no wind, there’s much less power. And without wind, there has to be a non-intermittent “despatchable” source of energy, such as gas or dirty energy from emergency diesel generators, to plug the gap. And if you have to buy emergency energy, you – or rather we, the consumers – have to pay emergency prices.
The problems of emergency are only the most visible tip of it. Because, for green, EU-driven reasons, the Government hastens the closure of coal-fired power stations (still 30 per cent of our electricity generation) and prevents the construction of new ones, it needs other sorts of power stations. But when it held its “capacity auction” last December, no new gas-fired power stations resulted. The potentially interested companies feared the political risk which now infects the subject and the knowledge that, if green policies continue, the demand for non-green power will sink lower.
So now we have coal-fired power stations closing down, no new gas-fired power stations coming on stream and – even after the friendly words exchanged between David Cameron and the President of China in London last month – no actual, definite money to ensure we get the promised nuclear power station at Hinkley Point. The energy “safety cushion” has lost its stuffing. All we know is that the current renewables subsidies of £4 billion will rise to £8.5 billion by 2020: we’ll be getting lots more offshore wind-farms"
Government experts say that 2015 is the hottest year ever, despite the fact that all actual evidence shows that they are lying. Arctic sea ice growth has been at record levels this year. Ice extent is far above 2006, the year with the highest minimum of the past decade. Ice growth in Greenland has also been at unprecedented levels. The Greenland ice sheet has been experiencing record cold, to accompany the record ice growth. The Glacier Girl aircraft was found buried under 250 feet of ice and snow, 50 years after it crashed in Greenland. It accumulates about five feet of ice per year. Despite the fact that all scientific evidence shows Greenland is not melting down, and that 2015 is not the hottest year ever – climate criminals pushing the White House agenda continue to lie about both."
I bring all of this up for three reasons. The first is to show just how little our ~ hundred billion dollars in solar and wind subsidies has bought us. If that was supposed to be our insurance policy, it’s not only a failure, it’s a cruel joke. It’s cruel because that amount of money could provide clean water for everyone on the planet …
The second reason is to highlight the continuing failure of these “We’re all DOOOMED!! We’re running out of energy!” kind of prophecies. President Carter was neither the first nor the last of these serial failed doomcasters.
The third reason is to highlight the ludicrous nature of the claims that solar and wind are making serious inroads into the global demand for energy. They are not. Solar and wind are a rounding error. Despite almost forty years of subsidies, despite renewable mandates, despite carbon taxes, despite cap-and-trade, despite a hundred billion dollars spent on this Quixotic quest, solar and wind have barely gotten off the floor. Look at that chart, and give me a guess for how long it will take for solar and wind to catch up with fossil fuels.
Then give me a guess how long it would take if we removed all subsidies as we should.
Here’s the bottom line. It’s not just that solar and wind can’t replace fossil fuels.
It’s worse than that. Solar and wind can’t even keep up with just the increase in fossil fuels … fail. Massive fail."
It didn’t take long for Australia’s new Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull to tear up his promise to keep Abbott’s climate policies. Now Turnbull appears to have taken the next step.
Australians voted overwhelmingly against carbon pricing in the last Federal Election, but for some strange reason carbon pricing now seems to be back on the agenda again – except this time, the major Australian Political parties may be planning to present a seamless non choice to Australian voters."
This is the first part of a two-part series of posts that present chapters from my recently published ebook On Global Warming and the Illusion of Control – Part 1. The introductory post for the book is here (WattsUpWithThat cross post is here), and the book in pdf format is here (25 MB). Yes, the book is free."
Thursday, 5 November 2015
As the Paris Climate Talk aka COP21 approaches, we get this familiar cry from The Vatican: .....
They say it is the ‘last effective opportunity’ to keep global warming to ‘a limit safe for humanity’.
How many times have we heard “last chance for climate” before? I’ve lost count.
If Paris doesn’t work out, I’m sure there will be another “last chance” coming to a destination city very soon.
h/t to Bishop Hill and to the website climatechangepredictions.org who rounded up this list.
Yet another study shows Antarctica gaining ice mass – accumulation ‘highest we have seen in the last 300 years’
A new NASA study says that an increase in Antarctic snow accumulation that began 10,000 years ago is currently adding enough ice to the continent to outweigh the increased losses from its thinning glaciers.
NASA says that 1911 was the coldest year on record, yet glaciers were melting at a phenomenal rate that year.This rapid melt continued until 1940. But after 1940, glaciers began to grow again. NASA shows glaciers melting when it was cold, and expanding when it was warm. Their graphs are untenable. NASA has massively altered the surface temperature record over the last 40 years, when scientists knew that there was large scale cooling after 1940. NASA has completely erased this cooling – which glaciers showed unequivocally.It is bad enough that NASA is wrong, but they keep tampering with the data to make their fraud even worse."
Skeptical Climate Scientists Fire Back at RICO 20 Colleagues: Demand Investigations Against Their Warmist Accusers
Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer, a former NASA scientist: 'I would like to see RICO investigations for people on the other side of this. People who have been pushing for energy policies for people that we know will kill them. And they know that, and yet they have hidden that information from the public and from politicians for the purposes of advancing an agenda.'
Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry: 'It looks like climate scientists are going to be spending more time in courts. This never occurred to me until three or four months ago.'
From the “settled science” department and former chief alarmist Jay Zwally, who for years had said the Arctic was in big trouble (only to have his prediction falsified), comes this Emily Litella moment in climate science: “Never mind!”. Curiously, WUWT reported back in 2012 about an ICEsat study by Zwally that said: ICESAT Data Shows Mass Gains of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Exceed Losses. I surmise that with the publication of this second study, the original is now confirmed. I suppose John Cook will have to revise his “Denial 101” video on Antarctica now."
In 1982, NASA reported sea level rising 1.0 mm/year (less than 4 inches per century) from 1880 to 1980, and nearly flat after 1950. Their published graph showed less than 0.9 mm/year. NASA has since increased 1880-1980 sea level rise rates by 60% to six inches per century.The overlay below shows how NASA has altered their 1880-1980 tide gauge data over the past 30 years, and wiped out the post-1950 hiatus. But six inches per century isn’t very scary either, so they switched measurement systems and added on 0.3 mm/year for a completely fraudulent tampering, called the Global Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) – which has absolutely nothing to do with the measurement of sea surface height. These are incredibly cynical fraudsters, who expect you to believe that sea level rise doubled coincident with them changing measurement systems. And to hide their malfeasance, they simply stopped showing tide gauge data after 1994 – which would wreck their claim. .............Make no mistake about it, government climate change science is the biggest fraud in history."
Britain is set to grant hundreds of millions of pounds in subsidies to highly polluting diesel generators as a way to help solve the energy supply crunch facing the country over the next 15 years. The subsidies on offer are so appealing that even solar-power developers are building diesel generation on their sites as a way of maximising their returns. "
Yesterday, we saw how easily debunked the original “97% of scientists agree” turned out to be.
There therefore had to be a renewed attempt by the warmist establishment to make the claim stick, so step forward John Cook with a much more sophisticated scam.
Jose Duarte, expert in Social Psychology, Scientific Validity, and Research Methods, has actually called the Cook paper “multiply fraudulent”, and, as far as I know, Cook has taken no action to challenge the claim. This, as much as anything else, shows just what a con trick the whole business was. How many scientists, after all, would accept being called fraudulent without taking action?
...............It is clear that. from the very start, Cook and his colleagues were intent upon providing an eye-catching “consensus” which they could sell to the media, and which would be picked up by politicians and others in the establishment, regardless of what the evidence actually said.
The reality is starkly different. After searching through 12000 scientific papers, spread over 20 years, all they could only come up with was 65 which supported the supposed consensus."
OTTAWA — As signals go, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has put a big green light on his Liberal government's promised climate change agenda."
According to shock data released, without fanfare, by China’s statistical agency, its coal use has been about 17 per cent higher per year than earlier official figures admitted. This may have pumped an extra billion tons per year of CO2 into the atmosphere – more than the total house gas output of the entire German economy. In 2012, China burned through an extra 600 million tons of coal: about 70 per cent of the amount used annually by the US. The new figures make a nonsense of China’s publicly-expressed commitment to wage war on climate change. house gas output of the entire German economy. In 2012, China burned through an extra 600 million tons of coal: about 70 per cent of the amount used annually by the US. The new figures make a nonsense of China’s publicly-expressed commitment to wage war on climate change."
Antarctica is growing not shrinking, according to the latest study from NASA. Furthermore, instead of contributing to rising sea levels, the still-very-much-frozen southern continent is actually reducing them by 0.23 mm per year. "
But it’s certainly not going to stop Bill Gates talking nonsense, no sirree, about the necessity of taking radical steps to deal with this potentially non-existent problem. "
China, now easily the world’s largest emitter, contributing 24 per cent of the total, plans by 2030 to double its CO2 emissions, not least by building 363 more coal-fired power stations. India, now the third-largest emitter, plans by 2030 to treble its emissions. The fourth-largest emitter, Russia, despite slashing its emissions after 1990 by closing down much of its old Soviet industry, now proposes to increase them from their 2012 level by up to 38 per cent.
Japan, the fifth-largest emitter, does claim that it will cut its emissions by some 15 per cent, but is still planning to build more coal-fired power plants. Although South Korea, the world’s seventh-largest emitter, claims that it will cut emissions by 23 per cent (not least by buying “carbon credits” that will allow it to “offset” its continuing production of CO2 for cash), even its proposed target will still be 100 per cent higher than it was 25 years ago. ........The only real question that will remain after the failure of this bid for a binding treaty in Paris is how much longer it can be before the most expensive and foolish scare story in history finally falls apart."
The National Grid has asked industrial users to switch to back-up power for the first time ever after multiple power plant failures left it short of supply. It will pay any company that agrees to do so — the first time such a “demand-side reduction” has ever been used. Unfortunately wind is only generating 0.59% of supply today… "
Wednesday, 4 November 2015
54% of Australians skeptics of man-made global warming, 80% don’t donate to environment or vote for it
The devastating result of the latest CSIRO survey: 54% of Australians don’t believe the experts at the IPCC, and are not convinced that humans are the dominant cause of climate change. Starkly, only 28% of Liberal voters agree with Malcolm Turnbull. Amazingly 40% of Labor voters and even a quarter of green voters don’t accept the IPCC litany. Presumably they think humans have some effect but are not the major cause."
Blackout fears as National Grid pays factories NOT to use 40MW of electricity to keep the lights on tonight
Volkswagen says it has found "inconsistencies" in carbon dioxide emission levels which could affect around 800,000 cars - possibly even petrol models."
ED: Green insanity - C02 is plant food and not a pollutant, its beneficial and essential to life itself.