New paper unable to link 2013 extreme weather of droughts, heavy rain & storms to AGW

The Hockey Schtick
A special report "Explaining extreme events of 2013 from a climate perspective" has been published today in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. The authors claim to "link" some extreme heat waves to anthropogenic global warming, but not other extreme weather including droughts, heavy rain, and storms.

"In this paper, 20 different research groups explored the causes of 16 different events that occurred in 2013.The findings indicate that human-caused climate change greatly increased the risk for the extreme heat waves assessed in this report. How human influence affected other types of events such as droughts, heavy rain events, and storms was less clear, indicating that natural variability likely played a much larger role in these extremes."

Thus, as noted today on twitter by Dr. Roger Pielke Jr, "the bottom line on this new NOAA special report: If you are attributing any extreme other than heat waves to Anthropogenic Climate Change, you are on weak (or worse) scientific ground."

German Green’s Anti-Nuclear Policies Boost Emissions

Guido Fawkes
The whole green climate change racket is falling apart – global warming has stopped and now the hippies are coming up with new theories to justify global cooling. At the UN Climate Summit yesterday the Chinese and Indian’s basically called the West’s bluff and said sod it, we want prosperity. UKIP campaigns against windmill subsidies and years after the daft hug-a-husky days, Populus found this month that 71% of Conservative MPs think “it has not yet been conclusively proved that climate change is man made”. Green crap – nein danke…"

New paper finds global temperature data trend prior to 1950's "meaningless" & "artificially flattened"

The Hockey Schtick
A correspondence published today in Nature Climate Change is a damning indictment of
the updated HADCRUT global temperature database, which is used as the basis of all of the other land-based temperature databases including GISS and BEST. 

The correspondence demolishes the claim of Ji et al that "the global climate has been experiencing significant warming at an unprecedented pace in the past century" as well as the reliability of the HADCRU database to determine global temperature trends of the past 164 years. According to the authors, conclusions about global temperature change cannot be reliably determined prior to the 1950's due to the poor spatiotemporal coverage prior to the 1950's and trends determined from the early HADCRU data are "meaningless and "artificially flattened."

Likewise, all climate model "tuning" based on the "meaningless" global temperature trends prior to the 1950's are therefore "meaningless" GIGO as well. "

Study finds global sea levels rose up to 5 meters per century at the end of the last 5 ice ages

WUWT
Land-ice decay at the end of the last five ice-ages caused global sea-levels to rise at rates of up to 5.5 metres per century, according to a new study.
An international team of researchers developed a 500,000-year record of sea-level variability, to provide the first account of how quickly sea-level changed during the last five ice-age cycles.
The results, published in the latest issue of Nature Communications, also found that more than 100 smaller events of sea-level rise took place in between the five major events."

Power from wind turbines slumps - due to lack of wind

Telegraph

Power produced by wind farms slumped by a fifth in the second quarter of this year, despite hundreds of new turbines being built – because it wasn’t very windy.

Official Government statistics published on Thursday show that in the three months to the end of June, the amount of electricity produced by offshore wind farms fell by 22 per cent, to 2 terawatt-hours (TWh), compared with the same period the year before.

Yet the number of offshore wind turbines operating grew significantly – with 4.1 gigawatts (GW) of capacity installed in the seas around the UK by June this year, up from 3.5GW by June 2013."

American Physical Society journal Physics Today: Physicist Steve Koonin impeaches scientists’ climate consensus

The Hockey Schtick
This could be a watershed moment, when the bad boys of climate science finally get their comeuppance from the hardest of the hard scientists - the physicists. Thanks to a hard-hitting and high-visibility Wall Street Journal article by well-respected physicist Dr. Steven Koonin, in which "the veteran technoscience leader declares the science not settled," the American Physical Society journal Physics Today has just published a complementary article basically endorsing the fact that APS "Physicist Steve Koonin impeaches scientists’ climate consensus."

Perhaps the hard physical scientists will now gleen from these watershed articles that the climate propaganda scientists have been lying all along about their fictitious non-statistical "95% certainty" and fictitious "97% consensus." Let's hope. If so, it could mark the beginning of the end of the grand Mann-made climate scam."

Gullible activists bury their heads in the sand

JoNova (Australia)
I guess scientific debate is too hard for some people. While skeptics want to talk about the evidence, some people just want to put their heads in the sand.  .............Fully 99% of climate models didn’t predict global warming would slow. Even in hindsight, they still don’t know why it happened."

Dr. Richard Lindzen: Global warming/climate change is extreme in terms of special interests believing in catastrophe despite lack of evidence

The Hockey Schtick
Climate alarm belongs to a class of issues characterized by a claim for which there is no evidence, that nonetheless appeals strongly to one or more interests or prejudices. Once the issue is adopted, evidence becomes irrelevant. Instead, the believer sees what he believes. Anything can serve as a supporting omen. Three very different previous examples come to mind (though there are many more examples that could be cited): Malthus’ theory of overpopulation, social Darwinism and the Dreyfus Affair. Although each of these issues engendered opposition, only the Dreyfus Affair led to widespread societal polarization. More commonly, only the ‘believers’ are sufficiently driven to form a movement. We will briefly review these examples (though each has been subject to book length analyses), but the issue of climate alarm is somewhat special in that it appeals to a sizeable number of interests, and has strong claims on the scientific community. It also has the potential to cause exceptional harm to an unprecedented number of people. This has led to persistent opposition amidst widespread lack of interest. However, all these issues are characterized by profound immorality pretending to virtue. "

US Government Agencies Just Can’t Stop Lying

Real Science

For the ocean, the August global sea surface temperature was 0.65°C (1.17°F) above the 20th century average of 16.4°C (61.4°F). This record high departure from average not only beats the previous August record set in 2005 by 0.08°C (0.14°F), but also beats the previous all-time record set just two months ago in June 2014 by 0.03°C (0.05°F).
Global Analysis – August 2014 | State of the Climate | National Climatic Data Center (NCDC)

Complete bullshit. The oceans were much warmer in August 1998.     ...."

10 Ways To Tell Tuesday’s UN Climate Summit Isn’t About Climate

Dr Roy Spencer PhD
Next Tuesday’s UN climate conference in NYC (called Climate Summit 2014) is for politicians, celebrities, and rent seekers. It’s not about climate science, nor Saving the Earth from “carbon emissions” of fossil fuels.        ............As I’ve said before, I really don’t care where our energy comes from, as long as it is abundant and inexpensive. But telling the poor they can only have concierge energy – if they can pony up enough money — will end up killing people. Lots of people.
And that’s what the U.N. should be concerned about…not having meetings in Bali and Cancun."

Climatologist Dr. Judith Curry warns of decades of possible global cooling: Suggests the ‘current cool phase will continue until the 2030s’

Climate Depot
Curry on Eve of NYC UN Summit: 'Relying on global international treaty to solve the problem -- which I do not think would really solve the problem even if it was implemented -- is politically unviable and economically unviable.'

Hell will freeze over before BBC eco-zealots broadcast the truth

Christopher Booker, Telegraph

On Tuesday, the BBC’s radio news breathlessly told us that the need for a global climate treaty is now more urgent than ever, because new figures from the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) show that CO2 levels last year raced up faster than at any time since 1984. Apart from the fact that this is blatantly untrue – according to the figures from the Mauna Loa observatory in Hawaii, no fewer than nine years since 1984 have shown larger increases – there was no mention of the fact that the trend in global temperatures has now shown no rise for 18 years, making a mockery of all those computer model projections relied on by the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, that dubious body co-sponsored by the WMO itself.

At least a fuller report on the BBC website did admit that surface temperatures haven’t been rising, but it hastily explained that this is only because all of that additional heat has somehow been hiding away in the oceans (a claim recently ridiculed as make-believe by one of the world’s leading oceanographers, Professor Carl Wunsch)."

Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Sep 14 2014 – Amazing – Another All-Time Record

Sunshine hours
Antarctic Sea Ice Extent Sept 14 2014 – 1,191,000 sq km above the 1981-2010 mean. Data for Day 256. Data here.
Amazing. Day 256 has broken the day 255 all-time record by 110,000 sq km. And the daily record from 2013 was broken by 230,000 sq km.
History making."

The scandal of UK's death-trap wind turbines: A turbine built for 115mph winds felled in 50mph gusts. Dozens more affected by cost-cutting. Why residents living in their shadow demand to know - are they safe?

Daily Mail
This week, the Health and Safety Executive (HSE) produced two reports – one into the catastrophic failure of the Bradworthy turbine and another into the collapse of a turbine in the next county, Cornwall, just three nights later. And its conclusions are not  merely unsettling, but have frightening implications for wind turbines and their safety right across the country."

Brussels Anti-Green Purge – New EU Leaders Neuter Green Lobby

WUWT
Skepticism of global warming may be more widespread than it is portrayed in the media, with nearly half of British lawmakers being labelled as climate “skeptics” and India’s prime minister casting doubt on claims of man-made global warming. A special report by PR Week shows that a vast majority of conservative members of UK Parliament are [doubtful] that mankind is the main driver behind global temperature rises. While a slight majority (51 percent) of members of parliament (MPs) say that global warming “is largely man made” and an established fact, nearly three quarters of conservative MPs disagree."

Under pressure, Australian BOM puts up facade of “transparency” — too little, too late

JoNova (Australia)

Bottom line: The BOM has added a page listing “Adjustments”. It’s two years late, inadequate and incomplete. Skeptics shouldn’t have had to ask for it in the first place, and we still don’t have the algorithms and codes, or rational answers to most questions.  No one can replicate the mystery black box homogenisation methods of the BOM — and without replication, it isn’t science. There is still no explanation of why an excellent station like Rutherglen should change from cooling to warming, except for vague “statistics”, or why any station should be adjusted without documentary evidence, based on thermometers that might be 300 km away.

Lo and behold, the pressure from The Australian and independent analysts means the BOM has made a weak belated attempt to do what it has implied it always has done. When Michael Brown provided cover for the BOM he said the notion that scientists were hiding data was “pseudoscience”. The BOM, meanwhile, added a page called “Adjustments”, two years after launching “ACORN”, quietly admitting that the skeptics were right. They did not correct Brown’s baseless namecalling. Other apologists for their inexplicable anomalies, major adjustments or errors – like David Karoly — demand the skeptics publish in the peer reviewed literature before they will even consider their point of view, but neither Karoly nor the BOM can name the peer reviewed document, or any publication or link, with the full homogenization code. How can skeptics discuss a method in the peer review literature which is not publicly available? The BOM homogenization technique remains a black box method that cannot be replicated — only the secret guild of anointed BOM staff are privy to the details.
Let’s open that BOM black box: let’s have a replication of the homogenization process, open to public inspection, so it can be audited. So everyone can see where every homogenized number came from, back to the raw data and the adjustments. No public company could shield its finances from observation like this: they have to produce audited accounts every six months that show all money in the company bank account, all money owed, and all money owing. All of it.
And once we have replication, then we can have an informed discussion of the ramifications of the current homogenization process, and how it might be improved or made more realistic."

Forty Seven million dollars to DHS for “pandemic” preparations gets us.. zilch

Junk Science
The report, “DHS Has Not Effectively Manage Pandemic Personal Protective
Equipment and Antiviral Medical Countermeasures,” OIG-14-129, determined
that DHS did not develop and implement stockpile replenishment plans or
inventory controls to monitor stockpiles, have adequate contract oversight
processes, or ensure compliance with Department guidelines. DHS also has no
assurance that the supplies on hand remain effective. "

ED: Sound familiar to you ?

New paper finds climate of tropical Atlantic is not driven by greenhouse gas forcing

The Hockey Schtick
A recent paper published in Climate Dynamics finds the sea surface temperatures of the tropical Atlantic cooled by 1°C or more from 1964-1975 during the 70's ice age scare, followed by warming that is not explained by greenhouse gas forcing. According to the authors, ..."

Great moments in climate science: “we could have forecast ‘the pause’ – if we had the tools of the future back then”

WUWT
Oh this is hilarious. In a “Back To The Future” sort of moment, this press release from the National Center for Atmospheric Research claims they could have forecast “the pause”, if only they had the right tools back then. ......"

Old, Thick Arctic Sea Ice Up 123% From 2011

Real Science
The amount of four and five year old sea ice in the Arctic has increased by 123% since the same week in 2011. Experts say there is no sign of recovery, because their funding depends on people thinking there is something wrong."

1953 Headline: Melbourne’s weather is changing! Summers getting colder and wetter

JoNova (Australia)
Once upon a time — before the Great Politicization of Climate Science — CSIRO was able to analyze trends from 1880 to 1910. In 1953 CSIRO scientists were making a case that large parts of Australia had been hotter in the 1880s and around the turn of last century.
So what happened to the large lost hot decades? "

WSJ: Whatever Happened to Global Warming? Now come climate scientists' implausible explanations for why the 'hiatus' has passed the 15-year mark

The Hockey Schtick
By MATT RIDLEY

Sept. 4, 2014 7:20 p.m. ET    THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

On Sept. 23 the United Nations will host a party for world leaders in New York to pledge urgent action against climate change. Yet leaders from China, India and Germany have already announced that they won't attend the summit and others are likely to follow, leaving President Obama looking a bit lonely. Could it be that they no longer regard it as an urgent threat that some time later in this century the air may get a bit warmer?

In effect, this is all that's left of the global-warming emergency the U.N. declared in its first report on the subject in 1990. The U.N. no longer claims that there will be dangerous or rapid climate change in the next two decades. Last September, between the second and final draft of its fifth assessment report, the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change quietly downgraded the warming it expected in the 30 years following 1995, to about 0.5 degrees Celsius from 0.7 (or, in Fahrenheit, to about 0.9 degrees, from 1.3).

Even that is likely to be too high. The climate-research establishment has finally admitted openly what skeptic scientists have been saying for nearly a decade: Global warming has stopped since shortly before this century began."

Laughable new paper claims 99.999% certainty global warming over past 25 years is man-made

WUWT
Fundamental problems with this claim [which is basically the falsified IPCC attribution claim of 95% certainty on steroids] include:
There is no statistical difference between the rate of warming over the 27 years from 1917-1944 and the 25 years from 1975/1976 to 2000: "

New paper claims 99.999% certainty global warming over past 25 years is man-made

The Hockey Schtick

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."- Mark Twain

A new paper published in a journal called "Climate Risk Management" claims a ridiculous degree of "certainty" of  99.999% that global warming over the past 25 years is man-made. The claim is made based upon climate models already falsified at confidence levels of 98%+.

Climate sceptics should be 'crushed and buried': Sir Paul Nurse attacks politicians who 'distort' facts on global warming

Daily Mail

Politicians who do not believe in climate change should be 'crushed and buried', according to the new president of the British Science Association.

Sir Paul Nurse, who starts his presidency next week, pledged to 'take on' the 'serial offenders' who he accused of cherry picking scientific facts to suit their arguments.

In an extraordinary outburst, Sir Paul accused those who refuse to accept scientific orthodoxy on global warming of 'distorting' the facts.

Sir Paul launched what could be interpreted as a thinly-veiled attack on former Environment Secretary Owen Paterson, who is widely viewed as a climate sceptic.

He also targeted climate sceptic lobby groups such as that run by former Chancellor Lord Nigel Lawson."

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From the Comments: "What happens when politicians use science to justify their policies, There is only one truth, their truth. "Today we have those who mix science up with ideology and politics" Does the damn fool realise he talking about himself?"