Readers may recall the paper I
wrote for GWPF on the problems with the UKCP09 climate projections.
These were demonstrably unreliable: the predictions were formulated as a
weighted average of possible future climates, but it was discovered
that only unrealistic future climates were taken into account.
Readers may also recall that this has all been acknowledged by the Met
Office, but that they are refusing to acknowledge that it is a problem.
Astonishing then to see that the Met Office is still pushing UKCP09, with a new paper in Nature Climate Change, dutifully (and inevitably) picked up by the BBC:
Astonishing then to see that the Met Office is still pushing UKCP09, with a new paper in Nature Climate Change, dutifully (and inevitably) picked up by the BBC:
Can anyone think of a way in which this could be seen as:Scorching summers such as the one in 2003 look set to become more common in England and Wales, a study suggests...The work draws on a major analysis, known as UKCP09, released back in 2009 which offered projections of the future British climate divided into 30-year periods.
- reputable behaviour by the scientists concerned
- reputable behaviour by the journal involved
- reputable behaviour by the BBC? "
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