JoNova (Australia)
People are constantly discovering new volcanoes, like a 3,000m one off Indonesia that no one realized was there til 2010. It turns out the second largest volcano in the solar system is apparently not on Io, but 1,000 miles east of Japan. It’s the size of the British Isles, but who knew? A few months ago a team found 91 new volcanoes under Antarctica. (This is getting serious, someone should talk to the Minister for Lava!)"
Tuesday, 5 December 2017
The 1970s Global Cooling Scare (and how the warming scare could not have happened without it)
WUWT
The time has come to clear up the confusion and give the cooling scare its proper place in history. The summary that follows starts with thematic introductions to the context in which the cooling scare arose. It finishes by showing how the cooling scare set the stage for an easy transition to a warming scare. For a fuller account, complete with references, see the early chapters of Searching for the Catastrophe Signal. ..........Thus it can be seen that the cooling scare—linked as it was with the food and energy crisis—provided the impetus behind the launch of the warming scare, and it also provided the institutional platforms upon which the launch of that scare would take place."
The time has come to clear up the confusion and give the cooling scare its proper place in history. The summary that follows starts with thematic introductions to the context in which the cooling scare arose. It finishes by showing how the cooling scare set the stage for an easy transition to a warming scare. For a fuller account, complete with references, see the early chapters of Searching for the Catastrophe Signal. ..........Thus it can be seen that the cooling scare—linked as it was with the food and energy crisis—provided the impetus behind the launch of the warming scare, and it also provided the institutional platforms upon which the launch of that scare would take place."
Friday, 29 September 2017
NASA : Arctic Melting At -30C
Real Science
On March 7, the usual band of Arctic fraudsters announced that after months of ice growth, darkness and cold, Arctic sea ice had “sunk” to a record low. Since then, Arctic sea ice has been much higher than recent years, and they have completely lost interest in it. This year brought the smallest melt of the last decade, and summer temperatures were below normal every day at the North Pole. But that isn’t quite true. Now they just lie and/or spin. Experts have now turned their attention to the Antarctic (which they ignored for the past 35 years as the ice expanded.) The bad news for these fraudsters is that when Antarctic sea ice declines, Arctic sea ice increases – as seen in the 1990 IPCC report. This indicates that whatever drives ice behavior, is not CO2. One more reason why NOAA now pretends they don’t have any satellite data prior to 1979. Government climate experts are professional fraudsters, not scientists."
On March 7, the usual band of Arctic fraudsters announced that after months of ice growth, darkness and cold, Arctic sea ice had “sunk” to a record low. Since then, Arctic sea ice has been much higher than recent years, and they have completely lost interest in it. This year brought the smallest melt of the last decade, and summer temperatures were below normal every day at the North Pole. But that isn’t quite true. Now they just lie and/or spin. Experts have now turned their attention to the Antarctic (which they ignored for the past 35 years as the ice expanded.) The bad news for these fraudsters is that when Antarctic sea ice declines, Arctic sea ice increases – as seen in the 1990 IPCC report. This indicates that whatever drives ice behavior, is not CO2. One more reason why NOAA now pretends they don’t have any satellite data prior to 1979. Government climate experts are professional fraudsters, not scientists."
The 11-Year Major Hurricane Drought: Much More Unusual than Two Cat 4 Strikes
Roy W. Spencer, Ph. D.
......
The Probability of the 11-Year “Drought” in Major Landfalling Hurricane
In 2015, a NASA study was published which calculated how unlikely the (then) 9-year stretch with no major hurricane landfalls was. They came up with a 177 year return period for such an event.
I used that statistic to estimate what eventually happened, which was 11 years with no major hurricane strikes.
I get a return period of 560 years!
Now, which seems more unusual and potentially due to climate change: something that should happen only once every 50 years, or every 560 years?
Maybe global warming causes fewer landfalling major hurricanes."
......
The Probability of the 11-Year “Drought” in Major Landfalling Hurricane
In 2015, a NASA study was published which calculated how unlikely the (then) 9-year stretch with no major hurricane landfalls was. They came up with a 177 year return period for such an event.
I used that statistic to estimate what eventually happened, which was 11 years with no major hurricane strikes.
I get a return period of 560 years!
Now, which seems more unusual and potentially due to climate change: something that should happen only once every 50 years, or every 560 years?
Maybe global warming causes fewer landfalling major hurricanes."
Is the Enlightenment dimming?
Matt Ridley
Mel Brooks said last week that comedy is becoming impossible in this censorious age and he never could have made his 1974 film Blazing Saddles today. A recent poll found that 38 per cent of Britons and 70 per cent of Germans think the government should be able to prevent speech that is offensive to minorities. If you give a commencement speech at a US university these days and don’t attract a shouty mob, you’re clearly a nobody. “There’s an almost religious quality to many of the protests,” says Jonathan Haidt of New York University, citing the denunciations. ......
Mel Brooks said last week that comedy is becoming impossible in this censorious age and he never could have made his 1974 film Blazing Saddles today. A recent poll found that 38 per cent of Britons and 70 per cent of Germans think the government should be able to prevent speech that is offensive to minorities. If you give a commencement speech at a US university these days and don’t attract a shouty mob, you’re clearly a nobody. “There’s an almost religious quality to many of the protests,” says Jonathan Haidt of New York University, citing the denunciations. ......
Obama EPA hid Climategate emails from Trump transition team
JunkScience
https://twitter.com/JunkScience
https://twitter.com/JunkScience
Revealed: Obama EPA hid experimental data debunking 2015 ozone rule
JunkScience
Why let the Obama EPA’s own science get in the way of the most expensive EPA rule of all time?
JunkScience.com has obtained via the Freedom of Information Act the results of an Obama EPA-conducted human experiment that directly contradicts the Obama EPA’s 2015 decision to tighten the air quality standard for ozone from 75 parts per billion (ppb) to 70 ppb."
Why let the Obama EPA’s own science get in the way of the most expensive EPA rule of all time?
JunkScience.com has obtained via the Freedom of Information Act the results of an Obama EPA-conducted human experiment that directly contradicts the Obama EPA’s 2015 decision to tighten the air quality standard for ozone from 75 parts per billion (ppb) to 70 ppb."
Three Extreme September 29’s
Real Science
On September 29, 1927 the south was hot and humid, and the north was cold. The cold front brought a huge tornado outbreak to the midwest. September 29, 1953 brought 100 degree temperatures to much of the Midwest. Imagine the hysteria if this happened now. September 29, 1984 brought cold weather to almost the entire country. There is no correlation between heatwaves and CO2, or extreme weather and CO2. People who claim there is are fraudsters, not scientists. "
On September 29, 1927 the south was hot and humid, and the north was cold. The cold front brought a huge tornado outbreak to the midwest. September 29, 1953 brought 100 degree temperatures to much of the Midwest. Imagine the hysteria if this happened now. September 29, 1984 brought cold weather to almost the entire country. There is no correlation between heatwaves and CO2, or extreme weather and CO2. People who claim there is are fraudsters, not scientists. "
Visit my YouTube channel to get a quick overview of how extreme and deep climate fraud is:
Steve Goddard
https://www.youtube.com/c/TonyHeller
German ARD Meteorologist: “Can’t Blame Climate Change” For This Year’s Hurricanes… “Many Factors”
NoTricksZone
Last Tuesday morning German flagship ARD public television meteorologist Donald Bäcker surprised some climate-realist viewers here with a very level-headed look at the factors behind hurricane development.
I use the word “surprise” here because the massive German public media system are generally devout warmists and vigilant gatekeepers against skeptic views. Open discussion here means discussion only among adherents and the like-minded. Anyone with a dissident view usually is branded and excluded."
Last Tuesday morning German flagship ARD public television meteorologist Donald Bäcker surprised some climate-realist viewers here with a very level-headed look at the factors behind hurricane development.
I use the word “surprise” here because the massive German public media system are generally devout warmists and vigilant gatekeepers against skeptic views. Open discussion here means discussion only among adherents and the like-minded. Anyone with a dissident view usually is branded and excluded."
Update: The 2017 Explosion Of Non-Hockey Stick Graphs Continues
NoTricksZone
In the last 4 months, 40 more graphs taken from 30 more new peer-reviewed scientific papers have made their way into the ever-growing volume of evidence that today’s climate is not only not unprecedented or unusual in the context of the last millennium, but modern temperature values are still among the coldest of the last 10,000 years. "
In the last 4 months, 40 more graphs taken from 30 more new peer-reviewed scientific papers have made their way into the ever-growing volume of evidence that today’s climate is not only not unprecedented or unusual in the context of the last millennium, but modern temperature values are still among the coldest of the last 10,000 years. "
Scientists surprised that reef that survived the hotter holocene is already recovering from 2016 bleaching
JoNova (Australia)
Who would have thought that after 5,000 years of climate change, sea level change, temperature change and super-storms every 200 years — that the Great Barrier Reef would have something left up its sleeve?
Much of the ABC reporting on the Great Barrier Reef damage uses vague terms. If I was feeling cruel, I might call them “weasel words”:
Who would have thought that after 5,000 years of climate change, sea level change, temperature change and super-storms every 200 years — that the Great Barrier Reef would have something left up its sleeve?
Much of the ABC reporting on the Great Barrier Reef damage uses vague terms. If I was feeling cruel, I might call them “weasel words”:
JUDITH CURRY INTERVIEW WITH TUCKER CARLSON (9/25/2017)
WUWT
Just thought I’d put this here for everyone. ~ ctm .....And here is another video.
Just thought I’d put this here for everyone. ~ ctm .....And here is another video.
Quote of the Week: The cost of daring to write about climate
WUWT
Matt Ridley: “I’ve written about many controversial issues during my career,” Ridley said.
Matt Ridley: “I’ve written about many controversial issues during my career,” Ridley said.
“Never, have I ever experienced anything like what happens when you write about climate, which is a systematic and organized attempt to blacken your name rather than your arguments, and to try to pressure any outlet that publishes me into not publishing me any more.”
Tuesday, 4 July 2017
Brexit: Grenfell Tower – blood on their hands
Richard North
Turning to the issues at hand, the relevance of such matters will become apparent. But first, we can take it as a given that the main (and very powerful) driver behind the Grenfell Tower refurbishment – focused almost entirely as it was on energy efficiency – was the European Union energy policy and its commitment to an energy efficiency target of 20 percent by 2020, based on 1990 levels.
This Europe 2020 strategy was well-established in 2010, reflected in Directive 2010/31/EU on the energy performance of buildings, amending the 2002 Directive. This, however – as we pointed out - did not specifically require combustible cladding to be used, but nevertheless the implementation of the Directive in the Building Regulations 2010 made the use of some form of insulation an absolute necessity, if thermal standards were to be met.
By then, government policy itself – with a range of inducements – made it inevitable that the tower block was going to be refurbished. Not least, under government pressure, improving energy efficiency had become a key part of Kensington and Chelsea Tenant Management Organisation's investment strategy, it having adopted an energy efficiency strategy since August 2000.
The final pieces that made this disaster inevitable are then highlighted, albeit unwittingly - almost to the extent of being "smoking guns" – in two technical papers by a Croatian fire prevention research team. Much of the content in the first is repeated in the second, but I have included both for the sake of completeness"
Turning to the issues at hand, the relevance of such matters will become apparent. But first, we can take it as a given that the main (and very powerful) driver behind the Grenfell Tower refurbishment – focused almost entirely as it was on energy efficiency – was the European Union energy policy and its commitment to an energy efficiency target of 20 percent by 2020, based on 1990 levels.
This Europe 2020 strategy was well-established in 2010, reflected in Directive 2010/31/EU on the energy performance of buildings, amending the 2002 Directive. This, however – as we pointed out - did not specifically require combustible cladding to be used, but nevertheless the implementation of the Directive in the Building Regulations 2010 made the use of some form of insulation an absolute necessity, if thermal standards were to be met.
By then, government policy itself – with a range of inducements – made it inevitable that the tower block was going to be refurbished. Not least, under government pressure, improving energy efficiency had become a key part of Kensington and Chelsea Tenant Management Organisation's investment strategy, it having adopted an energy efficiency strategy since August 2000.
The final pieces that made this disaster inevitable are then highlighted, albeit unwittingly - almost to the extent of being "smoking guns" – in two technical papers by a Croatian fire prevention research team. Much of the content in the first is repeated in the second, but I have included both for the sake of completeness"
The Incredible Heat Of July 4, 1936
Real Science
On this date in 1936, it was 114 degrees at Omaha, Nebraska and almost the entire country was over 90 degrees. Alarmists get hysterical when it gets that hot in Arizona now."
On this date in 1936, it was 114 degrees at Omaha, Nebraska and almost the entire country was over 90 degrees. Alarmists get hysterical when it gets that hot in Arizona now."
Grenfell: clad in climate-change politics
Spiked
..But few people have asked why so many tower blocks and housing estates in the UK have been clad in recent years. Some have argued that the refurbishments were cosmetic, added to appease private investors by prettifying housing estates. But this is not the main reason for the cladding. In fact, it was added to meet the government’s targets for reducing CO2 emissions. .........The programme of refurbishing local-authority and social-housing stock was augmented by the ‘green new deal’, under which local authorities and companies could get government funding to insulate houses. Householders were bombarded with phone calls and visits touting loft insulation, under the green-deal home-improvement fund. This was the small-scale equivalent of the cladding fad in social housing. .......
The fad for recladding tower blocks in London and the rest of the country looks increasingly like a hysterical response to international obligations for action over climate change. Social-housing tenants were the people who could most easily be made to carry the responsibility for energy efficiency because they had little control over their estates.
The government push for action on insulation encouraged shoddy workmanship and cowboy operators, who took advantage of the moral fervour of the climate-change campaign to make money."
..But few people have asked why so many tower blocks and housing estates in the UK have been clad in recent years. Some have argued that the refurbishments were cosmetic, added to appease private investors by prettifying housing estates. But this is not the main reason for the cladding. In fact, it was added to meet the government’s targets for reducing CO2 emissions. .........The programme of refurbishing local-authority and social-housing stock was augmented by the ‘green new deal’, under which local authorities and companies could get government funding to insulate houses. Householders were bombarded with phone calls and visits touting loft insulation, under the green-deal home-improvement fund. This was the small-scale equivalent of the cladding fad in social housing. .......
The fad for recladding tower blocks in London and the rest of the country looks increasingly like a hysterical response to international obligations for action over climate change. Social-housing tenants were the people who could most easily be made to carry the responsibility for energy efficiency because they had little control over their estates.
The government push for action on insulation encouraged shoddy workmanship and cowboy operators, who took advantage of the moral fervour of the climate-change campaign to make money."
Friday, 2 June 2017
That Paris Speech Just Made Trump Great Again
Breitbart
It was inspirational because it articulated better than any world leader has ever done before why environmentalism is in fact such a harmful creed.
Rather than get bogged down in the “science” of climate change — an elephant trap so arranged by climate alarmists to make anyone who disagrees with them look ignorant or “anti-science” — he cut to the chase and talked about the important stuff that hardly ever gets mentioned by all the other politicians, for some reason: the fact that the climate change industry is killing jobs. ........Compare and contrast with the other world leaders: Merkel, May, Macron, Trudeau, Turnbull — not one of those charlatans dares tell the truth about the global climate change industry, that it’s a racket which achieves nothing but simply transfers wealth from Western nations to countries like India and China."
It was inspirational because it articulated better than any world leader has ever done before why environmentalism is in fact such a harmful creed.
Rather than get bogged down in the “science” of climate change — an elephant trap so arranged by climate alarmists to make anyone who disagrees with them look ignorant or “anti-science” — he cut to the chase and talked about the important stuff that hardly ever gets mentioned by all the other politicians, for some reason: the fact that the climate change industry is killing jobs. ........Compare and contrast with the other world leaders: Merkel, May, Macron, Trudeau, Turnbull — not one of those charlatans dares tell the truth about the global climate change industry, that it’s a racket which achieves nothing but simply transfers wealth from Western nations to countries like India and China."
Merkel’s Phony CO2 Policy… U.S. REDUCTIONS Making Huge Progress As Germany Does Nothing
NoTricksZone
However, when we look at the facts, we see that Merkel and the German climate activists are truly living a fake reality.
The real reality is that Germany has done virtually nothing at all to reduce its CO2 emissions over the past years.
No GHG emissions reductions in 8 years! ...."
However, when we look at the facts, we see that Merkel and the German climate activists are truly living a fake reality.
The real reality is that Germany has done virtually nothing at all to reduce its CO2 emissions over the past years.
No GHG emissions reductions in 8 years! ...."
3 Chemists Conclude CO2 Greenhouse Effect Is ‘Unreal’, Violates Laws Of Physics, Thermodynamics
NoTricksZone
Eight years ago, 2 physicists published a comprehensive 115-page scientific paper entitled “Falsification Of The Atmospheric CO2 Greenhouse Effects Within The Frame Of Physics” in the International Journal of Modern Physics. ........"
Eight years ago, 2 physicists published a comprehensive 115-page scientific paper entitled “Falsification Of The Atmospheric CO2 Greenhouse Effects Within The Frame Of Physics” in the International Journal of Modern Physics. ........"
Credit where it's not due
Stick Nern
Last October, David Rose wrote that Nick Stern’s research centre has falsely claimed credit for papers it had no role in. Rose listed a few anecdotes. Stern runs a big research programme, with lots of people and lots of papers. You could dismiss the suspect papers as mishaps, although Stern’s spokesman, Bob Ward, reacted so furiously that there may be more to this story. So, I started digging. ............David Rose found only the tip of the iceberg. Nick Stern and colleagues received £9 million from the UK taxpayer. For the first half of that money, they appear to have exaggerated their output by a factor four. Based on that “success”, they were awarded the second half of the money, and continue to exaggerate their output, albeit by only a factor two. "
H/t Bishop Hill
Trump leads way in popping symbolic Paris bubble
JoNova(Ausralia)
The Leader of the free world leads the way out of the hollow bureaucratic pointless puffery of an agreement that was never going to change the weather. "
The Leader of the free world leads the way out of the hollow bureaucratic pointless puffery of an agreement that was never going to change the weather. "
The craziest reactions to Trump pulling out of the #ParisAgreement
WUWT
Heads are exploding today, get popcorn. Here are some of the best emotionaly based reactions from the climate alarmist squad.
Here’s billionaire climate activist Tom Steyer saying it’s a “traitorous act of war”. Yeah, right. ......"
Heads are exploding today, get popcorn. Here are some of the best emotionaly based reactions from the climate alarmist squad.
Here’s billionaire climate activist Tom Steyer saying it’s a “traitorous act of war”. Yeah, right. ......"
Monday, 8 May 2017
If The Data Doesn’t Match Theory, Change The Data
Real Science
Professional climate fraudsters claim that Greenland is losing ice 600% faster than predicted. As of yesterday, the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) showed Greenland surface mass gain for the winter at a record high. This is a direct contradiction to the lies being spread by climate alarmists. The DMI data was being widely cited by skeptics as evidence against global warming fraud, so today DMI changed the graph. They changed their baseline dates, and no longer show 2017 as being a record high. We have seen this identical story hundreds of times. Climate data being altered to avoid criticism from global warming alarmists. Apparently DMI doesn’t want to have gunfire directed at their office, like John Christy and Roy Spencer had after Bill Nye’s “March for Junk Science.”
Professional climate fraudsters claim that Greenland is losing ice 600% faster than predicted. As of yesterday, the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) showed Greenland surface mass gain for the winter at a record high. This is a direct contradiction to the lies being spread by climate alarmists. The DMI data was being widely cited by skeptics as evidence against global warming fraud, so today DMI changed the graph. They changed their baseline dates, and no longer show 2017 as being a record high. We have seen this identical story hundreds of times. Climate data being altered to avoid criticism from global warming alarmists. Apparently DMI doesn’t want to have gunfire directed at their office, like John Christy and Roy Spencer had after Bill Nye’s “March for Junk Science.”
In an attempt to discredit Judith Curry, Gavin at RealClimate shows how bad climate models really are
WUWT
A recent poster here wrote that they had stopped looking at the Real Climate web site, and good for them. It has become a sad, inwardly focused group. It’s hard to see anyone in the Trump Administration thinking they’re getting value for money from their support of that site.
I still check in there occasionally and just now I found something too good not to share with the readers at WUWT. "
A recent poster here wrote that they had stopped looking at the Real Climate web site, and good for them. It has become a sad, inwardly focused group. It’s hard to see anyone in the Trump Administration thinking they’re getting value for money from their support of that site.
I still check in there occasionally and just now I found something too good not to share with the readers at WUWT. "
Thoughts on the Public Discourse over Climate Change
Richard Lindzen
...The accumulation of false and/or misleading claims is often referred to as the ‘overwhelming evidence’ for forthcoming catastrophe. Without these claims, one might legitimately ask whether there is any evidence at all."
...The accumulation of false and/or misleading claims is often referred to as the ‘overwhelming evidence’ for forthcoming catastrophe. Without these claims, one might legitimately ask whether there is any evidence at all."
Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup #269
WUWT
Lindzen starts with the meme: 97% of scientists agree, which was exposed as a myth by Joseph Bast and Roy Spencer in the Wall Street Journal. Another mime is “warmest years on record,” which covers many misconceptions. The prior warmest year, since about 1850 in the surface record, was 1998. A slight increase above that is immediately seized as evidence of dire global warming caused by carbon dioxide emissions, even though it cannot be felt by humans, given the enormous temperature range existing on the globe each day.
As Lindzen shows, from 1850 the “Globally Averaged Deviations from Average Temperatures Plotted on a Scale Relevant to the Individual Station Deviations” are remarkably stable over time. It is only by manipulating scales for visual impact, called “chartsmanship’, that the change appears significant. When Lindzen adds the range of uncertainty in the measurements, the record is far from clear. The same applies to the influence of carbon dioxide (CO2).
Similarly, Lindzen demolishes other memes; including extreme weather, sea level rise, Arctic sea ice, polar bear endangerment, ocean acidification, and death of coral reefs. These memes lead those who are not sceptics to accept that CO2 causes global warming and that global warming is the cause of everything. ..."
Lindzen starts with the meme: 97% of scientists agree, which was exposed as a myth by Joseph Bast and Roy Spencer in the Wall Street Journal. Another mime is “warmest years on record,” which covers many misconceptions. The prior warmest year, since about 1850 in the surface record, was 1998. A slight increase above that is immediately seized as evidence of dire global warming caused by carbon dioxide emissions, even though it cannot be felt by humans, given the enormous temperature range existing on the globe each day.
As Lindzen shows, from 1850 the “Globally Averaged Deviations from Average Temperatures Plotted on a Scale Relevant to the Individual Station Deviations” are remarkably stable over time. It is only by manipulating scales for visual impact, called “chartsmanship’, that the change appears significant. When Lindzen adds the range of uncertainty in the measurements, the record is far from clear. The same applies to the influence of carbon dioxide (CO2).
Similarly, Lindzen demolishes other memes; including extreme weather, sea level rise, Arctic sea ice, polar bear endangerment, ocean acidification, and death of coral reefs. These memes lead those who are not sceptics to accept that CO2 causes global warming and that global warming is the cause of everything. ..."
This needs to be repeated 20 million times, maybe someday it will be recognized by the #MSM.
https://twitter.com/EcoSenseNow/status/858439166618619905
Nye’s Quadrant
Judith Curry
......
Apart from the twitter aspect, here are other attributes of this quadrant:
......
Apart from the twitter aspect, here are other attributes of this quadrant:
- Second order belief – allegiance to consensus. Individual has not done primary research on the relevant topic or has not conducted an independent assessment of the evidence and research.
- Shutting down scientific debate; science as dogma
- Alarmism as a tactic to influence the public debate
- Political activism and advocacy for particular policy solutions
- Scientism: a demand that science dictate public policy
- Advocacy research ......"
Sunday, 26 February 2017
The Global Warming Scam Goes Super Cold Today
Tony Heller (Real Science)
We have been hearing non-stop propaganda about the super-hot Arctic melting down, and how it is President Trump’s fault. As with almost everything else you read in the press, it is fake news. Arctic sea ice extent is about the same as 2006 and 2016. Polar temperatures have plummeted, and are the coldest in several years. Greenland has gained record amounts of ice this winter. And the scam ends today! "
Lawrence Solomon: 97% cooked stats
FP comment,Lawrence Solomon
.....This number will prove a new embarrassment to the pundits and press who use it. The number stems from a 2008 master’s thesis by student Maggie Kendall Zimmerman at the University of Illinois, under the guidance of Peter Doran, an associate professor of Earth and environmental sciences. The two researchers obtained their results by conducting a survey of 10,257 Earth scientists. The survey results must have deeply disappointed the researchers — in the end, they chose to highlight the views of a subgroup of just 77 scientists, 75 of whom thought humans contributed to climate change. The ratio 75/77 produces the 97% figure that pundits now tout."
.....This number will prove a new embarrassment to the pundits and press who use it. The number stems from a 2008 master’s thesis by student Maggie Kendall Zimmerman at the University of Illinois, under the guidance of Peter Doran, an associate professor of Earth and environmental sciences. The two researchers obtained their results by conducting a survey of 10,257 Earth scientists. The survey results must have deeply disappointed the researchers — in the end, they chose to highlight the views of a subgroup of just 77 scientists, 75 of whom thought humans contributed to climate change. The ratio 75/77 produces the 97% figure that pundits now tout."
Once Upon a Time 75 out of 77 “Scientists” of Unknown Qualifications …
Sunshine Hours
Want to know where the 97% consensus figure comes from?
Want to know where the 97% consensus figure comes from?
The two researchers obtained their results by conducting a survey of 10,257 Earth scientists.
And then … read it here.
Once all these cuts were made, 75 out of
77 scientists of unknown qualifications were left endorsing the global
warming orthodoxy."
Dutch Expert: With Trump In Office, Now Safe To Expose The Many Myths Of Climate Alarmism
NoTricksZone
In fact vegetation is thriving, figures for wind power are misleading, “sinking” islands are not sinking, safer nuclear energy is in the offing, and more that can be said loudly now that there is a real climate skeptic in the White House. "
In fact vegetation is thriving, figures for wind power are misleading, “sinking” islands are not sinking, safer nuclear energy is in the offing, and more that can be said loudly now that there is a real climate skeptic in the White House. "
How progressive: ship dead trees 5,000km and burn them (use £450m for kindling)
JoNova(Australia)
It would make any hunter gatherer proud.
Naturally, doing something this improbable takes a lot of money.
It would make any hunter gatherer proud.
[The Times] Britain is wasting hundreds of millions of pounds subsidizing
power stations to burn American wood pellets that do more harm to the
climate than the coal they replaced, a study has found.
Chopping down trees and transporting wood
across the Atlantic Ocean to feed power stations produces more
greenhouse gases than much cheaper coal, according to the report. It
blames the rush to meet EU renewable energy targets, which resulted in
ministers making the false assumption that burning trees was
carbon-neutral.
The UK tribes can thank chief Huhne (Energy and Climate secretary)
for the 7.5 million tonnes of dead trees otherwise known as biomass —
which mostly come all the way from the US and Canada.Naturally, doing something this improbable takes a lot of money.
Drax, Britain’s biggest power station,
received more than £450 million in subsidies in 2015 for burning
biomass, which was mostly American wood pellets. "
The journal Nature is going to begin requiring reproducibility in submitted papers
WUWT
But will they take the next step and more actively police published research and denote when it is not replicable? There needs to be an accessible list of papers that sits between valid, replicated studies and the full blown Retraction Watch . I highly doubt that most journals are willing to self-police themselves, so just as Retraction Watch has come into being, perhaps there needs to be be a web site that aggregates the list of all papers published each year and allows researchers who are able to replicate results to make some fanfare when they are able to remove a paper from the list, since replications are usually quiet affairs.
In the face of the hockey shticks, 97%s, and PAL reviews, combined with researchers refusing to release data “because you want to find fault with it” or just handing their hard drives over to their dogs to chew on, what percentage of AGW-related studies should be listed as unreplicable, perhaps even nonredeemable? "
But will they take the next step and more actively police published research and denote when it is not replicable? There needs to be an accessible list of papers that sits between valid, replicated studies and the full blown Retraction Watch . I highly doubt that most journals are willing to self-police themselves, so just as Retraction Watch has come into being, perhaps there needs to be be a web site that aggregates the list of all papers published each year and allows researchers who are able to replicate results to make some fanfare when they are able to remove a paper from the list, since replications are usually quiet affairs.
In the face of the hockey shticks, 97%s, and PAL reviews, combined with researchers refusing to release data “because you want to find fault with it” or just handing their hard drives over to their dogs to chew on, what percentage of AGW-related studies should be listed as unreplicable, perhaps even nonredeemable? "
Richard Lindzen Petition to President Trump: Withdraw from the UN Convention on Climate Change
WUWT
Dr. Richard Lindzen has sent a petition to President Trump, asking the President to withdraw the United States from the United Nations Convention on Climate Change.
The petition contains the names of around 300 eminent scientists and other qualified individuals, including physicists, engineers, former Astronauts, meteorologists, immunology specialists, marine biologists, chemists, statisticians, doctors, military weather specialists, geologists, accountants, a former director of NASA, economists, soil specialists, mathematicians, hydrologists, environmental scientists, computer modelling specialists, and many more. It is a long list."
Dr. Richard Lindzen has sent a petition to President Trump, asking the President to withdraw the United States from the United Nations Convention on Climate Change.
The petition contains the names of around 300 eminent scientists and other qualified individuals, including physicists, engineers, former Astronauts, meteorologists, immunology specialists, marine biologists, chemists, statisticians, doctors, military weather specialists, geologists, accountants, a former director of NASA, economists, soil specialists, mathematicians, hydrologists, environmental scientists, computer modelling specialists, and many more. It is a long list."
Sunday, 12 February 2017
Bespoke Climate Science: Temperature and CO2 Data Made to Order
WUWT
The revelation by Dr. John Bates that the “pause-busting” graph produced by NOAA was manipulated was no surprise. It was just another piece of bespoke science produced to push forward the AGW agenda and the Paris Climate Agreement. Bates used strange terminology by saying the graph was “hyped” and based on unverifiable, misleading, data. This is Orwellian Newspeak, for saying it was deliberately falsified for a predetermined result. They cheated. Bates is not a whistleblower because he waited until he retired to speak out. It is likely he would still be silent if Hillary Clinton were elected.
If he was such a good climate scientist, why didn’t he see the corrupted science that was going on for most of his career? The answer is a combination of he didn’t know much about climate, and it would jeopardize his career and pension. I can’t repeat often enough German meteorologist and physicists Klaus-Ekhart Puls experience.
“Ten years ago I simply parroted what the IPCC told us. One day I started checking the facts and data – first I started with a sense of doubt but then I became outraged when I discovered that much of what the IPCC and the media were telling us was sheer nonsense and was not even supported by any scientific facts and measurements. To this day I still feel shame that as a scientist I made presentations of their science without first checking it.”
The revelation by Dr. John Bates that the “pause-busting” graph produced by NOAA was manipulated was no surprise. It was just another piece of bespoke science produced to push forward the AGW agenda and the Paris Climate Agreement. Bates used strange terminology by saying the graph was “hyped” and based on unverifiable, misleading, data. This is Orwellian Newspeak, for saying it was deliberately falsified for a predetermined result. They cheated. Bates is not a whistleblower because he waited until he retired to speak out. It is likely he would still be silent if Hillary Clinton were elected.
If he was such a good climate scientist, why didn’t he see the corrupted science that was going on for most of his career? The answer is a combination of he didn’t know much about climate, and it would jeopardize his career and pension. I can’t repeat often enough German meteorologist and physicists Klaus-Ekhart Puls experience.
“Ten years ago I simply parroted what the IPCC told us. One day I started checking the facts and data – first I started with a sense of doubt but then I became outraged when I discovered that much of what the IPCC and the media were telling us was sheer nonsense and was not even supported by any scientific facts and measurements. To this day I still feel shame that as a scientist I made presentations of their science without first checking it.”
How can we trust global warming scientists if they keep twisting the truth
Daily Mail
They were duped – and so were we. That was
the conclusion of last week’s damning revelation that world leaders
signed the Paris Agreement on climate change under the sway of
unverified and questionable data.
A
landmark scientific paper –the one that caused a sensation by claiming
there has been NO slowdown in global warming since 2000 – was critically
flawed. And thanks to the bravery of a whistleblower, we now know that
for a fact.
The response has been
extraordinary, with The Mail on Sunday’s disclosures reverberating
around the world. There have been nearly 150,000 Facebook ‘shares’ since
last Sunday, an astonishing number for a technically detailed piece,
and extensive coverage in media at home and abroad......"
Monday, 6 February 2017
First NOAA Whistleblower
Tony Heller
NASA and NOAA are engaged in the biggest fraud in science history, and this needs to end now that criminals are no longer in control of our government. Under the Trump administration, government employees stand to make huge amounts of money by whistleblowing fraud."
NASA and NOAA are engaged in the biggest fraud in science history, and this needs to end now that criminals are no longer in control of our government. Under the Trump administration, government employees stand to make huge amounts of money by whistleblowing fraud."
Exposed: How world leaders were duped into investing billions over manipulated global warming data
Paul Homewood
The unstable land readings: Scientists at NOAA used land temperature data from 4,000 weather stations (pictured, one in Montana, USA). But the software used to process the figures was bug-ridden and unstable. NOAA also used ‘unverified’ data that was not tested or approved. This data as merged with unreliable sea surface temperatures .......The ‘adjusted’ sea readings: Average sea surface temperatures are calculated using data from weather buoys (pictured). But NOAA ‘adjusted’ these figures upwards to fit with data taken from ships – which is notoriously unreliable. This exaggerated the warming rate, allowing NOAA to claim in the paper dubbed the ‘Pausebuster’ that there was no ‘pause’
The unstable land readings: Scientists at NOAA used land temperature data from 4,000 weather stations (pictured, one in Montana, USA). But the software used to process the figures was bug-ridden and unstable. NOAA also used ‘unverified’ data that was not tested or approved. This data as merged with unreliable sea surface temperatures .......The ‘adjusted’ sea readings: Average sea surface temperatures are calculated using data from weather buoys (pictured). But NOAA ‘adjusted’ these figures upwards to fit with data taken from ships – which is notoriously unreliable. This exaggerated the warming rate, allowing NOAA to claim in the paper dubbed the ‘Pausebuster’ that there was no ‘pause’
35 Scientific Papers: Global Sea Levels Were 1 – 2 Meters Higher Than Now For Most Of The Last 7,000 Years
NoTricksZone
The fundamental problem for the CO2-rise-causes-sea-level-rise paradigm, then, is that rising CO2 concentrations have not been correlated with rising sea levels for nearly all of the last 12,000 years. In fact, the opposite has been observed during the last 2,000 years, or during the Late Holocene: CO2 levels have risen (gradually, then rapidly) while sea levels have fallen overall, with recent changes so modest (inches per century) that they do not override the overall trend). In the 8,000 years before that, sea levels rose rapidly while CO2 concentrations remained flat. Simply put, the supposed anthropogenic “signal” in sea level rise trends has largely gone undetected — a point that has been affirmed by more and more scientists. "
Don’t Be Distracted By Nit-Pickers: This Is Serious
GWPF
David Rose’s excellent investigative journalism in the Mail on Sunday has turned up a remarkable story of poor scientific practice, lack of openness and bias regarding the Karl et al (2015) paper in Science. This is the paper that was quickly dubbed the “pausebuster” as it was said to have removed any evidence of a “pause” or “hiatus” in the rate of increase of surface warming over the past 20 years or so contradicting the IPCC’s own assessment of two years earlier. ......The Mail on Sunday piece is the most important piece of climate science journalism in a decade, opening a door on the hitherto closed world of internal NOAA discussions, revealing how scientific data can be massaged and timed, towards a predetermined end. It is rightly being taken very seriously by many people and will likely lead to further U.S. investigations."
David Rose’s excellent investigative journalism in the Mail on Sunday has turned up a remarkable story of poor scientific practice, lack of openness and bias regarding the Karl et al (2015) paper in Science. This is the paper that was quickly dubbed the “pausebuster” as it was said to have removed any evidence of a “pause” or “hiatus” in the rate of increase of surface warming over the past 20 years or so contradicting the IPCC’s own assessment of two years earlier. ......The Mail on Sunday piece is the most important piece of climate science journalism in a decade, opening a door on the hitherto closed world of internal NOAA discussions, revealing how scientific data can be massaged and timed, towards a predetermined end. It is rightly being taken very seriously by many people and will likely lead to further U.S. investigations."
NOAA whistleblower tells how they used bad data to rub out “pause” for Paris
JoNova(Australia)
The abominable Karl et al paper came out in the nick of time to pretend that the “pause” didn’t happen. We knew the paper was junk thanks to hard sleuthing, especially from Ross McKitrick, now Dr John Bates, a pal of Judith Curry is speaking up from the inside to confirm that the paper used bad and unapproved datasets which were so flawed they have already been revised. The data wasn’t archived either, which is a mandatory requirement. Bates retired from NOAA and was given a medal for setting up the “binding” standards which were ignored for the sake of generating headlines in time for Paris."
The abominable Karl et al paper came out in the nick of time to pretend that the “pause” didn’t happen. We knew the paper was junk thanks to hard sleuthing, especially from Ross McKitrick, now Dr John Bates, a pal of Judith Curry is speaking up from the inside to confirm that the paper used bad and unapproved datasets which were so flawed they have already been revised. The data wasn’t archived either, which is a mandatory requirement. Bates retired from NOAA and was given a medal for setting up the “binding” standards which were ignored for the sake of generating headlines in time for Paris."
NOAA Scandal Gives Trump The Perfect Excuse To Drain The Climate Swamp
Brietbart
What the whistleblowing NOAA insider John Bates has just done is prove beyond reasonable doubt what some of us have long claimed: that from NASA GISS and NOAA across the pond to the UEA and the Met Office’s Hadley Centre, the world’s leading temperature data sets have been hijacked by climate activists and abused to advance a political agenda."
What the whistleblowing NOAA insider John Bates has just done is prove beyond reasonable doubt what some of us have long claimed: that from NASA GISS and NOAA across the pond to the UEA and the Met Office’s Hadley Centre, the world’s leading temperature data sets have been hijacked by climate activists and abused to advance a political agenda."
BOMBSHELL – NOAA whistleblower says Karl et al. “pausebuster” paper was hyped, broke procedures
WUWT
He said he decided to speak
out after seeing reports in papers including the Washington Post and
Forbes magazine claiming that scientists feared the Trump administration
would fail to maintain and preserve NOAA’s climate records.
Dr Bates said: ‘How ironic
it is that there is now this idea that Trump is going to trash climate
data, when key decisions were earlier taken by someone whose
responsibility it was to maintain its integrity – and failed.’
NOAA not only failed, but
it effectively mounted a cover-up when challenged over its data. After
the paper was published, the US House of Representatives Science
Committee launched an inquiry into its Pausebuster claims. NOAA refused
to comply with subpoenas demanding internal emails from the committee
chairman, the Texas Republican Lamar Smith, and falsely claimed that no
one had raised concerns about the paper internally.
Last night Mr Smith thanked Dr Bates ‘for
courageously stepping forward to tell the truth about NOAA’s senior
officials playing fast and loose with the data in order to meet a
politically predetermined conclusion’. He added: ‘The Karl study used
flawed data, was rushed to publication in an effort to support the
President’s climate change agenda, and ignored NOAA’s own standards for
scientific study.’
Exposed: How world leaders were duped into investing billions over manipulated global warming data
Daily Mail
- The Mail on Sunday can reveal a landmark paper exaggerated global warming
- It was rushed through and timed to influence the Paris agreement on climate change
- America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration broke its own rules
- The report claimed the pause in global warming never existed, but it was based on misleading, ‘unverified’ data
Monday, 30 January 2017
IPCC Objectives and Methods Mandated Elimination, Reduction, Manipulation of Inadequate Real Data and Creation of False Data
WUWT
Promoters of AGW and members of the IPCC lead the public to believe that they have a vast amount of data to support their analysis and claim that they are 95 percent certain that human CO2 is causing global warming. They also promote the notion that 97 percent of scientists agree with their conclusion. They promote by specific statements, by failing to investigate the accuracy of the data, or failing to speak out when they know it is incorrect.
Most people, probably at least 97 percent, have never read the SPM, including scientists, politicians, and the media. Probably 99 percent of people have never read the Science Report. How many of them would change their minds if they considered the information shown above? Maybe that is too much. Maybe all that is necessary is to learn that every projection the IPCC ever made was wrong.
This brief and limited look at what the IPCC are saying on its own gives credence to Emeritus Professor Hal Lewis’s charge in his October 2010 resignation letter from the American Physical Society
“It (the global warming scam) is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist.”
It is a pseudoscientific fraud because there was no data as the basis for any of their work. The scientists determined to achieve the objective of the IPCC, that is prove ‘scientifically’ that human CO2 was causing global warming, had to modify or eliminate the inadequate real data and create false data. Even if, under the new regime, the fraud is exposed and proper science and scientific methods are applied it will take a very long time to gather the minimum data required. Until that occurs it is all just hand-waving. However, there is enough evidence to know that the precautionary principle is not applicable. The little evidence we have indicates we are safer to do nothing."
Promoters of AGW and members of the IPCC lead the public to believe that they have a vast amount of data to support their analysis and claim that they are 95 percent certain that human CO2 is causing global warming. They also promote the notion that 97 percent of scientists agree with their conclusion. They promote by specific statements, by failing to investigate the accuracy of the data, or failing to speak out when they know it is incorrect.
Most people, probably at least 97 percent, have never read the SPM, including scientists, politicians, and the media. Probably 99 percent of people have never read the Science Report. How many of them would change their minds if they considered the information shown above? Maybe that is too much. Maybe all that is necessary is to learn that every projection the IPCC ever made was wrong.
This brief and limited look at what the IPCC are saying on its own gives credence to Emeritus Professor Hal Lewis’s charge in his October 2010 resignation letter from the American Physical Society
“It (the global warming scam) is the greatest and most successful pseudoscientific fraud I have seen in my long life as a physicist.”
It is a pseudoscientific fraud because there was no data as the basis for any of their work. The scientists determined to achieve the objective of the IPCC, that is prove ‘scientifically’ that human CO2 was causing global warming, had to modify or eliminate the inadequate real data and create false data. Even if, under the new regime, the fraud is exposed and proper science and scientific methods are applied it will take a very long time to gather the minimum data required. Until that occurs it is all just hand-waving. However, there is enough evidence to know that the precautionary principle is not applicable. The little evidence we have indicates we are safer to do nothing."
Snowiest January In A Century At Chama, New Mexico
Real Science
Chama, New Mexico has received almost six feet of snow this month – making it the snowiest January in a century. It snowed an average of 10 cm per day."
Chama, New Mexico has received almost six feet of snow this month – making it the snowiest January in a century. It snowed an average of 10 cm per day."
Wednesday, 4 January 2017
Why Temperature Fraud Matters
Real Science
Barack Obama has many different government agencies in full gear telling lies to try to delegitimize Donald Trump. NASA and NOAA represent one part of Obama’s attempted coup.Satellites show that temperatures in 2016 were nearly identical to 1998. The claims of record warmth are due to massively tampered NOAA/NASA data. Fake NASA temperatures are diverging from satellite temperatures at a rate of 1.2C per century. Arctic sea ice extent is starting the year essentially identical to all recent years, and is growing very rapidly. Here in the US the number of hot days was well below average, and ranked 81st hottest since 1895. Summers in the US over the past 60 years have been much cooler than they were during the previous 50 years.
Barack Obama has many different government agencies in full gear telling lies to try to delegitimize Donald Trump. NASA and NOAA represent one part of Obama’s attempted coup.Satellites show that temperatures in 2016 were nearly identical to 1998. The claims of record warmth are due to massively tampered NOAA/NASA data. Fake NASA temperatures are diverging from satellite temperatures at a rate of 1.2C per century. Arctic sea ice extent is starting the year essentially identical to all recent years, and is growing very rapidly. Here in the US the number of hot days was well below average, and ranked 81st hottest since 1895. Summers in the US over the past 60 years have been much cooler than they were during the previous 50 years.
NASA and NOAA temperature graphs have been massively altered, and are useful only for propaganda. They have no scientific value."
2016 edges 1998 as warmest year in satellite record – by 0.02°C
WUWT
Both 1998 and 2016 are anomalies, outliers, and in both cases we have an easily identifiable cause for that anomaly: A powerful El Niño Pacific Ocean warming event. While El Niños are natural climatic events, they also are transient. In the study of climate, we are more concerned with accurately identifying long-term temperature trends than we are with short-term spikes and dips, especially when those spikes and dips have easily identified natural causes."
Both 1998 and 2016 are anomalies, outliers, and in both cases we have an easily identifiable cause for that anomaly: A powerful El Niño Pacific Ocean warming event. While El Niños are natural climatic events, they also are transient. In the study of climate, we are more concerned with accurately identifying long-term temperature trends than we are with short-term spikes and dips, especially when those spikes and dips have easily identified natural causes."
Documenting the Global Extent of the Medieval Warm Period
WUWT
Conclusions
A review of the global extent of the MWP is presented and the following conclusions are offered:
Conclusions
A review of the global extent of the MWP is presented and the following conclusions are offered:
- The MWP was a global event and a large number of studies show that warming events overwhelming outnumber cold events.
- However, the not insignificant number of dry or wet events recorded in the MWP Mapping Project would suggest that perhaps the Medieval Climate Anomaly would be a better description than the MWP.
- NH temperatures during the MWP were at least as warm those in 1980-1989 instrumental record.
- Recent instrumental temperatures show higher temperatures when compared with the MWP proxies. However, instrumental temperatures should not be compared directly with proxy temperatures because this is not an “apples for apples” comparison. Proxy temperatures are dampened (flattened) out on decadal or greater scales.
- Recent proxy records diverge from instrumental temperatures – instruments show higher readings when compared with proxies.
- The divergence problem in item (e) above is probably due to a linear proxy-temperature response being assumed in current temperature reconstructions. A nonlinear proxy-temperature response would achieve more accurate results for historical high and low temperatures and achieve a better correlation with recent instrumental data.
More Obama Climate Giveaways: $30 Million Grant to Jamaica
WUWT
The Jamaica Gleaner reports that Jamaica has just received a $30 Million under the US Clean Energy Finance Facility, to pay for legal, consultancy and engineering costs for a new renewables project.Does anyone think this $30 million grant to assist the Jamaican renewables legal process will deliver any value to the Jamaican people, other than a few well connected bureaucrats? But cancelling the grant will stir up diplomatic trouble for President Trump. Diplomatic trouble with Jamaica could impede joint efforts to stamp out drug smuggling into the USA."
The Jamaica Gleaner reports that Jamaica has just received a $30 Million under the US Clean Energy Finance Facility, to pay for legal, consultancy and engineering costs for a new renewables project.Does anyone think this $30 million grant to assist the Jamaican renewables legal process will deliver any value to the Jamaican people, other than a few well connected bureaucrats? But cancelling the grant will stir up diplomatic trouble for President Trump. Diplomatic trouble with Jamaica could impede joint efforts to stamp out drug smuggling into the USA."
One Million Dollars Says 2017 Won’t Be The Hottest Year Ever
Real Science
Mark Boslough used to work in the same
group as me at Sandia Labs, and seems to like lying about me on Facebook
and Twitter – in his official capacity as a government employee.
He predicts Gavin Schmidt will set a new record for data tampering in 2017, and declare 2017 to be the hottest year ever. ....I’m offering him a one million dollar bet that lower troposphere
temperatures measured by UAH satellite will not show 2017 to be the
hottest year ever."
Tidal free energy takes £8 million from EU taxpayers, lasts “weeks”
JoNova(Australia)
Darn free energy costs a fortune to collect.
The 39ft turbines were fitted with a sonar so they could be switched off if seals and dolphins wandered by, but the sonar developed a fault.
Darn free energy costs a fortune to collect.
The 39ft turbines were fitted with a sonar so they could be switched off if seals and dolphins wandered by, but the sonar developed a fault.
£18MILLION tidal energy scheme supposed to power 600 homes stops working after just three months "
Greenland Enters 2017 Adding Extraordinary Amounts Of Ice And Snow
Daily Caller
In fact, Greenland’s ice sheet has been gaining ice and snow at a rate not seen in years based on Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) data. DMI reports the Greenland ice sheet’s “mass surface budget” has been growing significantly since October."
In fact, Greenland’s ice sheet has been gaining ice and snow at a rate not seen in years based on Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) data. DMI reports the Greenland ice sheet’s “mass surface budget” has been growing significantly since October."
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Secondly, humans breathe out 40,000 ppm, and absolutely require CO2 in their system to survive. Life on Earth developed when CO2 levels were many times higher.
Thirdly, they could try to prove empirically that CO2 causes warming in a convectively controlled atmosphere.
All it takes is a little bit of basic education instead of mindless anti-science propaganda and the AGW farce dies a natural death . !!!"